winterwx21
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Everything posted by winterwx21
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Yeah almost everything was still open. It was almost as busy there today as a summer day. Perfect weather for it. We always go a few times during July and August on Wednesdays because they have fireworks on Wednesday nights, but it's nice to go down there one more time during the early fall before things close down. Almost everything will be closing after next weekend. But anyway just to get back to what we were talking about with the Belmar forecast. I see Belmar had a high temp of 82 today, so we were right about the NWS forecast of 72 being ridiculously low. It felt like summer this afternoon walking up and down the Seaside Heights boardwalk.
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Yeah looking at the long range into mid October, the models look fairly cool now. Of course we can't rule out the odd 80 degree day later in the fall, but today through Tuesday looks like our last truly summery period of the season. The drought will worsen as well with the dry pattern continuing.
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Had a low temp of 47 here this morning. We have the 4 day blast of summer with highs in the low to mid 80s Saturday through Tuesday, and then I'm hoping we get some heavy downpours with the front on Wednesday like last night's Euro showed. Then a nice cooldown for late week with high temps in the 60s.
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Don pointed out the strange discrepancy in the NWS forecast for down there, as they have 72 for Belmar but 77 for South Belmar. It doesn't make any sense. It definitely will be much warmer than 72 at Belmar this weekend since the wind will be switching to the southwest. I'm going down to Seaside Heights on Saturday and I'll be surprised if it isn't in the upper 70s.
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I agree with warlock on this one. I don't know why NWS is going so low for that area. It will likely be higher than low 70s with the southwest winds.
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70 degrees here and not a cloud in the sky. Great way to start October. I'm leaving right now for bow hunting for the first time this season. Perfect weather for it.
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I got 0.16" here. More than I thought we'd get, but still not enough to help very much. Lots of watering will be needed with pretty much no rain in sight. -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
All the humidity this week and we couldn't even get a quarter inch of rain out of it. Frustrating. I'm sure the moderate drought will be expanding across the area over the next couple weeks. Hopefully it won't get as bad as it was last fall. -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Only 0.17" here between last night and today so far. It's going to be a major disappointment if we don't get a downpour this afternoon or tonight. -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
85 with a dewpoint of 64 here right now. Feels like late August rather than late September. -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
You'd hope we'd get some heavy rain at some point with this humidity sticking around for the rest of the week. -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Mid 70s with the dewpoint in the high 40s and not a cloud in the sky ..... as perfect as it gets today. We'll be going back to summer on Tuesday though with highs in the mid 80s and dewpoints in the mid 60s. -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Euro really brings in the humidity and rain chances for mid to late next week. I hope that will be correct since we really need the rain. -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
The dewpoint is 58 here right now. Nothing like the humidity that we had in the middle of the summer. Mid 80s doesn't feel bad with dewpoints in the 50s. -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
84 degrees here right now. Mid 80s again tomorrow, and I think we'll see mid 80s again on Tuesday. Still some nice warm summery days ahead. -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Mostly light rain here but had a couple moderate showers. 0.11" so far. Not great, but more than I thought we'd get when I looked at the models and radar around midday. Still a few more small downpours to our southeast, so hopefully we'll add to it over the next hour or two. -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I just had a little 3 minute shower here that was barely enough to wet the ground. I agree it's unlikely that we're gonna get much, but we'll have to see if we can get lucky with one of these isolated downpours. I see there's one down in Monmouth right now heading northwest, but I don't know if it's gonna hit us or miss a little to the south. More likely south. -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Remember all the fires we had last fall. It was horrible. I don't know why anyone would want to see a severe drought. Obviously you don't garden lol. -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I know it wasn't looking impressive, but I was hoping for at least a quarter inch today to give things a watering. Terrible that we're going to see almost nothing. That inch and a half that we got a week and a half ago helped, but now it's back to having to water the vegetable garden almost every day. That rain helped hold off the developing drought a little bit too, but now we'll be going into at least a moderate drought here with no rain in sight. Frustrating, but unfortunately we're getting used to the extremes. We either get way too much rain or not nearly enough. I miss the days of getting normal rainfall. It makes it tough for vegetable gardeners. -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Looks like nice extended summer next week. Still no real heat coming, but highs probably in the low 80s here all next week. -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Very heavy downpour with gusty winds and some thunder. It dropped 0.55" here. I was in Shoprite when it happened. After checking out I waited in the store for it to pass (about 10 minutes) before walking out to the car. I'm glad we're finally getting some rain. Between this and Thursday night over an inch here, and we should see some more tonight. Hopefully this will give the vegetable garden a nice late season boost. -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Made it to 87 here today. Could see 90 tomorrow if the storms don't come in too early. I see 0z HRRR hits this area hard. Looks like an interesting day for potential severe and flash flooding. -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
A few small downpours did come through here after midnight. I'm up to 0.62" for the event now. Pretty good. -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I got 0.38" here. Obviously not enough to bust the developing drought, but at least it was enough to give things a desperately needed watering. I didn't water the vegetable garden today in hopes that we'd get enough rain tonight, so thankfully it happened. -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Absolutely pouring right now. Haven't seen rain like this in many weeks. Thank goodness.
