winterwx21

Mid 40s feels good out there today. I'm going hunting this afternoon for the last time this season. Gonna be a nice afternoon to be out there. 

0.4" here. 

Some big snowflakes mixed in with the sleet under the bright echoes here. 

Just now, Stormlover74 said:

Moderate sleet now

Yeah those bright radar echoes are mostly sleet. Oh well. At least we got a nice half inch coating of snow out there. 

1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said:

Right now it's light sleet but we're in a lull 

Yeah we'll have to see if those heavy echoes to the west are sleet or snow. 

15 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Is this band moving in from PA snow?

Looks like we could get a snow squall. 

27 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

This mini event has more precip than what the models had especially on the southern extent. 

Except the RGEM. That model has consistently showing an inch or so of snow for this area. Looks like RGEM for the win on this one. Nice to see it snowing out there with everything coated. 

A light dusting here. 

Still just 29 degrees here. Temp isn't going anywhere near forecast today because it's cloudy.

CMC looks good for next weekend's potential storm, but of course we're talking a week away. First we have to figure out what's gonna happen Wednesday.

I don't care if they are front end type of storms ... I'm just glad we have interesting times ahead with the potential of getting a decent amount of snow in February. It beats very cold and dry. 

3 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Euro bumped south for Sunday night. 
 

.5 to a inch 

RGEM looks decent for Sunday night too. It's more likely to the north, but maybe we have a shot at getting a coating here. On Wednesday maybe we can get a light accumulation of snow/sleet before it changes to rain.

I was just getting caught up on the longer range with the models. Wow GFS is a weenie's dream, lol. It does appear we'll have some chances but with precip type issues. I think we at least have a shot at a couple front end dump type of events. February looks interesting ... hopefully we can pull off a decent amount of snow. I'm glad we have an interesting period coming up. 

Only 0.02" here this morning. The evening batch of rain should be better. Hopefully a quarter to half inch for most of the area like the latest HRRR shows. We certainly need the rain. 

3 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Models keep showing a possible storm next week.  Could be wintry.

GFS keeps teasing us with bogus snow threats. It had a snow event for Saturday. Then Sunday. Now it's showing one for late Wednesday into Thursday next week. I doubt it's right as the other models are warmer for that potential event. You never know for sure, so we'll keep an eye on it. But I think next week is unlikely and we probably have to wait until the 2nd week of the month to have a better threat. Euro looks interesting in the long range. SnowGoose sounds optimistic that we'll see an event or two. Hopefully it's a decent pattern for mid February. 

24 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Those were two good snow events here, a 4.5 incher and a 6 incher in the same week!  

We got lucky with over a foot of snow between those 2 snow events here during that week last February. Just goes to show that you never know. The pattern last February wasn't very good yet we got plenty of snow. I know it isn't looking great right now, but there's no way I'm giving up on winter on January 28th. 

It hasn't been bad to this point either with 10 inches of snow here. We just had snow on the ground for a week. Obviously we will be falling well below average in snowfall though if we don't see much in the next few weeks. Hopefully we'll see a good storm or two in February. 

29 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

Also difference in timing of second later weekend wave

CMC Model – MSLP & Precip (Rain/Frozen) for CONUS | Tropical Tidbits

GFS Model – MSLP & Precip (Rain/Frozen) for CONUS | Tropical Tidbits

in fact GFS says snow here earlier later in weekend and CMC is later then GFS with liquid 

ICON has 3 events into early next week - first is liquid the next 2 frozen

Like Walt mentioned earlier individual model solutions will continue to change next few days

I see UKMET is starting to pick up on Sunday's threat as well. The good thing is we have fresh cold air coming in Saturday, so it could be cold enough for a little accumulating snow on Sunday. What GFS shows certainly would be nice, but obviously we have a long way to go. 

9 minutes ago, BxEngine said:

More than 1 post got deleted. No one was singled out. After being at work for 24 hours i didnt feel like going back and reading through the complete nonsense, so i deleted posts towards the end of the thread, so i could take a break from babysitting here and function as an adult. 

Like I said it's not that big of a deal. A few people commented on how bad that OT is. When I saw that I agreed and commented about it too. Then I noticed that my post was deleted while the others stayed, so that confused me and I mentioned that to Rjay. I see you just deleted Brian's post too. It was just a few short posts, so it's not as if you had a bunch to read through. 

3 minutes ago, BxEngine said:

Because this is the january weather thread. Why the hell do you think it got deleted?

But other people made similar posts that didn't get deleted. Odd that just 1 of the posts (mine) got singled out, but whatever. I'm not the one that brought up the subject. 

15 minutes ago, Rjay said:

Idk. I didn't do it. 

Yeah I knew you didn't do it. You're the best. I have an idea who did it, but I'll just leave it at that lol. Not that big of a deal. 

3 hours ago, Allsnow said:

The cold modified as we got closer 

 

we done 

Yeah it's something how Thursday went from looking like a significant cold shot to now a fairly mild day. It now looks as if we'll make it up to 40. 

But the warm first week of February that some people were talking about doesn't look likely anymore. Actually looks like a chilly week now. As long as we continue to have cold air in the long range we have a shot. Hopefully a threat will pop up for early February. 

27 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

What? 

Walt mentioned Sunday as a possibilty. GFS gives us some light snow. Euro has it too, but it's warmer and a little too far to the north. 

1 hour ago, Rjay said:

Pin this somewhere

I wonder why my post about it got deleted lol. 

1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said:

I'd actually rather a big storm even if it's rain than another light snow event

I'm still rooting for snow since we're in the heart of winter, but it won't be too long before I start rooting for rainstorms again. 

2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Too strong. We get nothing lol

The fact that the situation is trending colder obviously is good news though if we're rooting for snow. CMC has light snow missing us to the south. Not a big storm but maybe we have a shot at seeing a little accumulating snow. 

1 hour ago, LibertyBell said:

No it's not ignored there are studies that come out regularly about how important diet is as well as getting a minimum of 6 hours of sleep.

Getting less than 6 hours of sleep lowers your lifespan by multiple years.

Eating  a healthy diet without ultraprocessed food is important, doctors' advice is not to eat something if it has more than 5 ingredients in it.

 

The problem is many people eat unhealthy food every day or more often than not. I think it's ok to have it as a treat occasionally. Moderation. Having a cheat day each week won't hurt you, but obviously it's very important to eat a mostly healthy diet. 

17 hours ago, SnowGoose69 said:

RSV tends to have outbreaks impacting adults every 4-6 years or so.  In general we have immunity to it that lasts several years whereas children usually get very sick from it the first time around.  I think when the strain alters enough that the immunity wears off we have outbreaks like this winter.  I recall in 17/18 there was an outbreak impacting people middle aged and up.  I definitely had it 2-3 weeks ago following like 4 people I work with having it.  No runny nose or sneezing and no fever just a horrid sore throat that became a nasty dry cough.  Usually in adults there is a pronounced lack of runny nose/sneezing vs the cold which can be a tip off thats what you have.  Doctor told me at my physical in December there has been nearly no covid or flu this winter, at least as of then on 12/15 and all he was seeing was RSV/colds.

Definitely not nearly as much Covid this winter. There was a bit of a spike but now it's already falling quickly and down to moderate nationally. Seems like this is the first winter that we're not having a big Covid surge, but other viruses have been much higher. There has been a very big Norovirus (a severe stomach bug) outbreak in recent weeks.