Yanksfan

6 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Who would have thought? Everyone bashes the GFS and look.

 

Another storm that trended unfavorable. Smh.

Let’s hope that the Euro and CMC holds serve where they’re at now and the GFS corrects SE tomorrow.

28 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Gfs continues with the Rainer 

Gfs showing signs of coming around though. Playing catch up as usual. Buckle up It’s going to be an active week folks.

41 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

 

We all know this baby is trending north. Give me a 100 mile jog please.

EURO now shows a coastal for next weekends storm. Last nights run misses to the south, but the CMC and GFS show good hits.

11 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

I love reading about that.  That was one of the most undermeasured HECS in the recorded history of NYC.  I think both March 1888 and January 1996 were significantly undermeasured here.  Probably February 1978 too.  And PD2 for NYC (JFK measured it better.)  There's probably a few from the 60s that make that list too (February 1961, February 1969.)  And my benchmark storm February 1983.  Very windy very long duration snowstorms are the hardest to measure.  

But back to March 1888 the sheer enormity of it and the totals reported from Brooklyn and Queens indicate to me that it was probably around 30" in NYC.  January 1996 was probably around 25-28"  PD2 probably around 20-22" at NYC and ditto for February 1983  .And keep in mind they only measured at the end of the storm back then.

 

40+ amounts were common in the northern half of Jersey with 50 and 60 amounts as you got into NY state. If the first part of the storm didn’t start out as rain, they would have been much higher. Just an incredible storm. This board would crash if we ever tracked such an extreme event.

1 hour ago, LibertyBell said:

meh if we get one 6 inch storm in March or even early April you'll have a more positive outlook and look forward to next winter.

At this point I think you'll even settle for a March 2001 redux lol.

 

This winter has been so wretched the only thing to save it would be the blizzard of 1888 redux.

25 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

 

Great that really makes my day. Think we can make a run at 1995/96? 

8 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

Here’s a good visual of why the pattern sucks for east coast snowstorms from now through the start of February. This is why you need a -NAO block and a 50/50 low or the lows just continue to run and cut without any secondary redevelopment

You can bet the ranch that the -NAO block will show up in April just in time to ruin our spring. I’ve seen this bad movie before.

9 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

What a disaster this winter is

You’re telling me it is. I’ve been a weather buff since 1976, and this is the worse one yet. Heck it’s been so bad you can’t even declare winter over when it hasn’t even started.

With the relentless dog crap pattern we’re in, it’s time to start thinking of all time snow futility in a season. The record is 2.8” in 72/73 which is becoming more and more realistic by the day. I love snow more than anyone on this board, but if it fails to produce, it might as well be an all timer where the snow gods pitches a shut out in NYC.

My hope is by seasons end we have a salvageable winter but my confidence is slowly waning. This trifecta LaNina crap is killing us. We need a complete reshuffle of the pattern. Thank God the models are hinting at a weak ElNino next year.

Yes I know it’s January 5th, but I’m starting to get gravely concerned  with snow prospects this winter. I’m getting those 71/72, 01/02 vibes. Too many weather anomalies going against us; consistent trough out west, firehouse pac jet, not to mention the dreaded SE Atlantic ridge. Heck we couldn’t even score with a -5 AO! At this point I would sign up for one big snowstorm in this dogsh*t pattern. 

20 minutes ago, Volcanic Winter said:

I’m about ready for a “Classic northeast Day After Tomorrow pattern.”

Just your run of the mill 15 ft snowstorm with sub zero temps. Sign me up!!!

What an absolute disgrace.

3 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said:

Now it’s just seeing run to run the 50-100 mile wobbles that will make some pull out their hair after sitting up for those 00z runs for the next week 

Calm down and let’s put things into perspective. We got a long way to go with this one. Can this beast go Benchmark and crush the I-95 area? It has the potential. However at this far out juncture an inland runner to even a missed phase is on the table as well.

12Z CMC trending towards a larger front end snow dump for end of week storm.

5 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

Really comes down to how far north the system can initially get...anything from a track too close, perfect, or even a miss is possible at this stage.  

What ever happened to the good OL’ days when you had a storm coming up the coast with DC to Boston gets snow blitzed. The past decade or so everything’s all about the timing and threading the needle.

1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said:

GFS

 

Ah the southern slider solution. No worries. At this point in time I’d rather see this than a cutter. Growing potential for a winter storm threat late next week. This block means business.

5 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

What a pattern on the gfs

Yep it sure is. Multiple threats during the run with the big snow bomb out in fantasy land for good measure.

38 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Yes. Most days will have highs of 50 or above for the remainder of November.

Thank goodness. I started putting up Xmas lights this past weekend and it was uncomfortable to say the least. This upcoming mild spell comes at the right time.

10 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Might be more like warm first 10 days of November, Don?

 

Let it torch in November for all I could care as long as we flip to a colder regime around Thanksgiving.

7 minutes ago, Superstorm93 said:

New run on the left 

Not only is there more trough interaction, but the WAR is stronger as well. If the Euro is correct, there’s a very good chance of a capture/ track up the eastern seaboard. Interesting times ahead.

15 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Part of me wants August to officially go 0-0-0 then have September explode. Would be a very interesting analog to have in our back pocket in the coming years 

By explode I don’t mean I want death and destruction, but activity to track from a meteorological sense. I know there would be pushback to that statement so here’s your disclaimer 

Part of me wants a Cat 4 cane just off the VA capes roll up the coastline. Just think of the angst this board would have to endure.

5 hours ago, bluewave said:

Looks like the record trade winds in July will result in a rare 3rd year La Niña for the winter. 
 

 

 

 

Please don’t tell me we’re in for another clunker this winter.

Heavy wind driven snow. 34*. Where has this been all winter?