BombsAway1288

Why are you asking about it? I thought you gave up on this storm already. Being 3 days out with the model volatility we've been having I can see that was a wise statement . Maybe try keeping the emotions in check. It's only beginning of December

No offense but you do complain quite a lot for someone who’s in an absolutely great spot for the typical big nor’easter. I would love to be on a hill in Methuen. I get that you just missed out last year for jacking to areas to the north of you but didn’t you just jack with a solid 30” in March 2018? I bet most people on here have never gotten to a 30” spot in a single storm. I’ll bet my life savings that you end up with more snow than most of SNE by the time this season is all said and done

Wrong thread I guess. My bad. Mods please move if need be

How has Upton not issued even a wind advisory? I feel like the NWS has downplayed the wind for tomorrow as to not "upset peoples holiday" and/or deter people from coming to the parade. I might be way off but they do seem to be on the lowest side of all forecasts I've seen for days.

Thunderstorms inbound to ECT and RI up to Mass. Go figure lol

If it were 48 hrs out then we would be. Nobody, anywhere in the world, should be going nuts from a 5 day GFS op run. Chances are pretty good that it doesn't play out how the GFS has it now. We will not take the bait. Not yet at least.

I was just thinking that you have such a nice pack for pre-Thanksgiving. You think you'll have a wall to wall snowpack year there?

Are you? Shocking. There's a reason that you're a daily limited poster Hell of a contributing post

24 hours later and the GFS has taken away the coastal for the first week of Dec. Shocker, I know. Looks like it sets up a nice trough in the east after that storm cuts but of course then the country is quiet with no storms crossing the CONUS and developing for us. Cold and dry. Could and probably will change but only after the Euro makes its adjustments. Garbage! Not jumping but good thing it's only the first week of met winter. Hopefully this 80's-like winter pattern doesn't continue this year, at least if you're on the coastal plain.

Brutal. Is it freezing in places at least. Depending on how hard the rain is I guess the water doesn't have enough time to freeze before runoff. Isn't there a standard for freezing rain accretion pertinent to how hard it's raining? I would think for heavy rain to freeze up the temp would need to be no higher than 27-28?

Of course

18z GFS does it again for the Cyber Monday storm. Too bad it's the GFS. What does the Euro have for that storm? Let me guess, congrats Chicago?

If you're talking about the cutters on the 06z GFS then yes but just one run ago on the 00z GFS it showed 2 of those LR storms off the coast and strengthening. Point is, one run has drastic changes in the fantasy LR. Could easily change and those storms will be well east again in the next run. One things for sure is that there's not a shortage of storms. Very active jet. Get some of that blocking to actually materialize to force one of those storms underneath us after Thanksgiving wouldn't take much.

Ooops!

A lot more issues than blocking for both those teams. Blocking does seem to be the main issue for the Patriots though

Yeah it has. Almost all cutters or tracks even further west out of the cutter category. Need some blocking badly it seems to get one of these juiced systems south of us

That torch has been supported with a big storm for the last 8 runs or so of the OP GFS. Shown the low center anywhere from Minneapolis to a transfer at the coast which bombs out barely in enough time for Maine on some runs. The end result still looks like a lot of rain, wind and warmth on Thanksgiving Day all over the Northeast. Night and day from last year as it usually is, except for Christmas of course which will have the annual cutter and torch

It must be a sensor issue at KBOS. The site location hasn't changed even though I could see the increase in jet traffic at Logan as being a reason it runs high, it probably isn't. There are reliable PWS in Winthrop that are regularly 2-3 degrees colder than KBOS. I would expect those to be a degree or two warmer than Logan if anything as they're closer to the open ocean.

Fleeting and nowhere to be found. Shame with such a big moist system. This will end up your typical cold, rainy windy November nor'easter with rains to the mountains. Hopefully the result will be different in 2-3 more weeks

Hey Don, any info on any possible record low maxes yesterday in the tri-state area? They were everywhere and plentiful here in SNE. TYIA

I guess the same goes for Windsor Locks representing Hartford?

Do you have the link for this type of information for different reporting sites? Can't seem to find one anywhere. TYIA

Looks like it's ripping on your cam and won't stop until the system passes and your upslope stops. What's your pack? Looks like deep winter there.

That November storm was the post-Sandy snowstorm which was particularly bad because thousands still had no power in my area at the time (NJ). Remember thinking how awesome this winter was going to be until just missing out on the really big totals the Feb 13' epicness delivered that propelled BDR. "Only got 12" lol. Also, BOS the only one with more positives than negatives although most of those positive departures are under double digits.

That is truly a benchmark hit. Showing a beast with a 985 at that. Only problem is, it's still a week+ out and will most likely end up with a completely different solution. I'd say tracking season is now in full swing!