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chicago updated We have opted to upgrade the Winter Storm Watch across our northwest to a Winter Storm Warning from 7 pm this evening through 1 pm Monday. We strongly considered a Blizzard Warning, but have opted to hold off on that at this time, though cannot rule out the need to upgrade as the event unfolds this evening. Either way the combination of falling and accumulating snow with widespread blowing snow and gusty northwest winds (up to 50 mph) will make for near blizzard conditions at times tonight into Monday morning across northwestern IL. Total snowfall amounts in the warned area are expected to be in the 3 to 6 inch range. In addition to the warning, we have also opted to issue a Winter Weather Advisory from 10 pm tonight through 1 pm Monday for areas east-southeast of the Winter Storm Warning. This basically includes areas nearly as far southeast as the I-55 corridor. Snowfall amounts in this region are expected to be lighter, generally in the 1 to 3 inch range. However, the combination of the snow and blowing snow will also make for hazardous conditions outside of the Warning area Monday morning.
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Agree how many times have we been forecasted to get 1-3 from a deformation band and end up with 30 minutes of flurries
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I will settle for this Image
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Better Image
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Chicago There continues to be some differences amongst guidance in terms as to how much additional moisture will fall as snow in the deformation band of the cyclone into Monday morning. However, given the expected track of the system, forecast thinking continues to favor the heaviest snow axis from northwestern IL into WI, with much lighter amounts with east-southeastward extent across our area. This results in general forecast snow amounts in the 2 to 5 inch range in my far northwest (near the Rockford area), dropping to only an inch or two across the Chicago area and points southeast. conditions should become more hazardous with time Sunday night, with the potential for periods of near blizzard conditions at times, particularly across the more open areas of northern/northwestern IL. These poor conditions are expected to continue into Monday morning before the snow gradually tapers off from south to north through the day on Monday.
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Milwaukee update Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee-Lafayette-Green-Rock- Walworth-Racine-Kenosha- Including the cities of Delavan, Mineral Point, Monroe, Kenosha, Whitewater, Brodhead, Shullsburg, Lake Geneva, Fort Atkinson, Muskego, Argyle, Blanchardville, Madison, East Troy, Belmont, Watertown, Janesville, Milwaukee, Darlington, Jefferson, Benton, Brookfield, Waukesha, New Berlin, Racine, Dodgeville, Beloit, Elkhorn, Barneveld, and Menomonee Falls 140 PM CDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 7 inches and ice accumulations around a light glaze possible. Winds could gust as high as 50 mph.
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National Weather Service Des Moines IA 1134 AM CDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY MORNING... WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 4 inches. Winds gusting as high as 55 to 65 mph.
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looking forward to dusting #13
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18z ICON backed down to earth as expected.
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Chicago NWS Thelatest thinking is that snow accumulations would generally be in the 2-4 inch range (60-80% chance) for this event with the highest amounts forecast to occur north of I-80 and in northwest IL. However, there remains a 15-20% chance for localized amounts upwards of 6 inches to occur. Regardless of the snow amounts, the main concern with wintry side of this system will be the threat for blowing and drifting snow as gusty northwest winds develop behind the low. With wind gusts expected to be in excess of 40-45+ mph Sunday night into Monday any falling snow will be blown around and if snow can be "fluffed" up enough as temperatures cool then some drifting snow may also materialize leading to hazardous travel. Given that there is still uncertainty in snow amounts, rates, and character we have opted to hold off on issuing a Winter Storm Watch with this forecast package. Though if trends continue then a consideration for a winter weather headline will be needed with future forecasts.
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12z Icon on drugs
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this storm covers alot of acreage
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nice writeup from Milwaukee NWS Here are a few things to keep an eye on over the next couple days. The first thing to watch are the surface and 850 mb low tracks. Given the expected transition from rain to mixed precip to very heavy snow over a fairly short distance with this deepening low, any wobble north/south with the low tracks would have a significant impact on local precip types/amounts. As mentioned already, while the surface low track has remained fairly steady, the 850 mb low has been trending northward. Another trend to watch is that models have been slower with the exit of this system, lingering into at least Monday morning with the moderate to heavy snow and blowing snow. This would bring the higher impacts into the Monday morning commute. Lastly, models are often on the high side with storm total liquid equivalent 2-4 days out. Given the current anomalously high storm totals for a winter storm, it will be worth watching if models start coming down with totals in the next 24-48 hours. Give the strength of this system though, liquid equivalent totals of 1-2 inches seem reasonable, maybe not upwards of 3" per 12Z deterministic models.
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18Z GEFS PLEASE NOTE 10:1 Mean which is prolly overstated.
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Green Bay getting approx. 44 inches in 48 hours!!!
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Naperville does well on the 12z Euro!!!
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
ILSNOW replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
12z GFS 384 hr Kuchera snow map -
Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
ILSNOW replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Are you able to carry on a conversation with someone who has a different opinion then you (whether right or wrong) without calling them stupid or illiterate, now please go back into your basement and enjoy your day.
