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kat5hurricane

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Everything posted by kat5hurricane

  1. 963 is insane. A 968 on the GFS and 963 on the CMC, this is a massive storm signal. Placement is obviously the big question but these are some extreme solutions.
  2. I cleaned off my car and my spot last night and woke up to 1-2 more inches of snow added to it, didn't see that coming. @ag3how much did you add up last night?
  3. Generally I would agree but all the models have a big storm in the vicinity and the pattern supports it, plus we're not in fantasy range anymore. Also, there have been a few KU's in the past that were locked in on the models a week out. Of course plenty could still go wrong but it'll be a fun week of tracking at the very least.
  4. I've been describing to my girlfriend the details of how this last storm was coming together, mid level warming, primary low location, how excited I was about the thump, what a snow weenie is etc. and needless to say she was bored to tears lots of "ok uh huh" and then saying lets just watch the show Nobody Wants This. Yes, the sacrifices we make to make them happy lol Anyway, looks like another week of tracking. What a refreshing winter this has been after like 4 ratters in a row.
  5. The wind is relentless. I feel like the wind wasn't really talked about much but it's been a big factor. Still sleeting pretty hard.
  6. Snow starting to mix back in here. I feel like the wind was undersold, it's been whipping out there for hours.
  7. Pinging has commenced, a battle between snow and sleet
  8. Visibility has gone up, either the snow has lightened or the transition to sleet has started. Still not hearing any pings yet
  9. Still all snow here and a heavy snow at that, pretty much whiteout conditions.
  10. No signs of mixing here, visibility very low. I'm starting to wonder if there should have been a Blizzard Warning, winds have been whipping with heavy snow for a few hours now. It's treacherous out there
  11. Hard to measure with all the drifting, hoping we can crack 10" before the sleet races in.
  12. Agreed, we're almost halfway there already and we're going to really thump for the next 3-4 hours at minimum with 1-2" rates. Most of us will likely end up with a foot at this rate.
  13. Noticeably heavier snow now and the wind has pick up significantly blowing it around, looking more blizzardlike
  14. Snow in the teens is a beautiful and rare sight around these parts. It's been pretty light the last half hour or so but looks to be about, maybe, 3" here just eyeballing it. Looking forward to the heavier stuff a little later but that will also be a sign that the mix line is approaching.
  15. Already a winter wonderland here, radar looks great, let's have fun guys.
  16. The Euro AI has been really consistent as has the UKMET, lets hope they're on to something. The AI has been performing well this winter
  17. The RGEM showing the big thump gives me some hope, and the UKIE as well. I can't much if any stock into what the HRRR and RAP show, they almost always run on the cold side.
  18. As I suspected the NAM isn't backing down, it's been pretty consistent. Whether or not that means it's correct is another story but you can't discount this potential solution.
  19. I never found the HRRR or the RAP to be very accurate so it's just eye candy as far as I'm concerned but still nice to see nevertheless. The NAM has been pretty steady in flooding the area with warm air at the mid levels so I don't see it backing down that much.
  20. Bare Ground here, outside of a random snow patch or two
  21. We only have patches here, I'm near the Throgs Neck bridge and all throughout the town it's the same deal and Bayside as well, I was out and about most of the day. Where in Whitestone are you that you have almost full coverage? Not that I doubt you but it's pretty bare here.
  22. In Brooklyn? I'm surprised. I have virtually nothing here and I'm well north of you in Whitestone, Queens. Either way, we're all getting thumped tomorrow so it'll be fun.
  23. I figured as much so that tempers the excitement for the higher totals a bit but either way even with a lot of sleet this is going to be a high impact storm and this is going to be one of the most wintry looking weeks that we've had in years maybe a decade or so with the snow and ice sticking around for a long time. Kind of '14'15 ish
  24. Is that snow or snow and sleet? Important distinction
  25. First of all, I didn't even know the CMC had ensembles. Second, the CMC has been pretty bearish on this event from the beginning so this is a big surprise.
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