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T. August

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Everything posted by T. August

  1. T. August
    Euro is great for DC-SE. 7-8” all the way to southern MD
  2. T. August
    Not only that, but the individual panels are eerily uniform. Almost no variation in track or strength. I wonder how useful they truly are for precipitation.
  3. T. August
    Partially storm related, but the 18z gfs and 12z euro are below freezing for most of the area until the end of the runs. Absolutely insane. Whatever falls will be here when we flip the calendar.
  4. T. August
    Kuchera is dastardly
  5. T. August
    Nam was a disaster for sure
  6. T. August
    I believe they lean on the NBM heavily especially 3 days out. I’m sure @high risk can correct me lol
  7. T. August
    Hopefully we are converging on a result that is close to reality. As it stands I feel like 6-9” is a safe and reasonable forecast for 95. Feel like 10-14” NW.
  8. T. August
    0z eps looks good to me. Really not too different. A bit more qpf.
  9. T. August
    12” in DC on the Kuchera
  10. T. August
    So close to all snow in dc. Just misses the pivot by 30 miles
  11. T. August
    It is indeed south of 18z through 90
  12. T. August
    It’s lowkey good. Mix line actually stops advancing for a panel.
  13. T. August
    I think all of our warm layers are bare ass naked right now. We should focus on hiding them.
  14. T. August
    Qpf. That’s why DC’s total at 10:1 is on the way to putrid.
  15. T. August
    Almost disaster territory. 10:1 map was depressing.
  16. T. August
    DC loses .6” of precip due to non snow precipitation
  17. T. August
    I believe it was 0z 1/22 (tonight)
  18. T. August
    Yeah but 12z GEFS had a lot of misses to the south.
  19. T. August
    Wxbell is snow through 96 at least
  20. T. August
    GFS starts snow in DC at 7pm Saturday
  21. T. August
    I was gonna say - it looks like it starts to phase before getting on shore. Wxbell is behind, but hr71 looks primed (in a good way).
  22. T. August
  23. T. August
    I think I gave a pretty accurate description without seeing the final maps. M/D line around 5-6”
  24. T. August
    In DC it’s workable but anywhere north, the warmth outraces the precip. Still waiting on final maps but I’d say north of Baltimore is 5-6” at 10:1 (which honestly they might be lower ratios).
  25. T. August
    Literal disaster. Dry front end then a flip to zr
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