T. August

Anyone have precip and or snow on ukie?

Like I posted earlier, I think worst-case scenario would too warm at the start but then heavy snow at 33°. I think 2” is almost guaranteed.

5” dot over @Kay for the jackpot

Better for everyone

Yeah it looks like a timing change. That’s the only difference I found

I think we are good for a minimum of 2.5” honestly. Even the warmer solutions at the start come in super heavy and drop 2”+ in 3 hours. Getting excited.

3k better for almost everyone too

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1239 AM EST Sat Dec 13 2025 DCZ001-MDZ005-006-008-011-013-014-503>508-VAZ053-054-131345- /O.EXB.KLWX.WW.Y.0028.251214T0100Z-251214T1200Z/ District of Columbia-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Northwest Montgomery- Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria- 1239 AM EST Sat Dec 13 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 1 and 3 inches. Localized totals of 4 to 5 inches are possible, especially across Baltimore and northeastern Maryland. * WHERE...Washington DC, and portions of central and northern Maryland, and northern Virginia. * WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Precipitation may briefly start as rain in some locations this evening but quickly turn to snow. A narrow band of heavier snow may develop during the late evening and overnight which could produce more rapid accumulations and visibility less than one half mile. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$

Advisories up. Yoda slacking fr

Weatherbell is more generous - 3” down to DC. Really juiced up.

Good way to look at it actually - I’d pay $2-3k.

Mannnnn… financially, I should want no snow. Sundays are generally the busiest at my shop. But I am a sick individual and would ruin my business for 2”.

Gfs is nice man. I think the spot to be for this one is Wilmington to south Jersey.

Icon is worse - mainly due to it being warm at the sfc. That unfortunately seems to be the trend across guidance. Temps at onset aren’t cooling quick enough.

So close yet so far… 12k smokes south Jersey. 5-6”

NBM/SREF adjustments it looks like. Those are the only things that got drier to my knowledge.

Euro is a hold. Better for DC.

Buncho, you’re late brother

06z euro north/more expansive and better for just about everyone. Gfs is still stressing me out.

Rgem still is gross but way better than 18z. Gets a couple inches to the M/D line. If it was a little colder it would be great. Pretty wet.

Yeah virtually identical - awful for nw areas.

I’m no Randy but through hr36 the gfs will probably NOT end up a disaster.

From my limited upper-air knowledge I don’t think it’s gonna be better. edit: yeah it’s fugly

Need to see the rgem not bake us and then I’ll get excited.