Vol4Life

The Euro was close. GFS kind of led the way for the last storm from a storm signal standpoint (about 6-8 days out).

12z GFS is still showing potential for next weekend….slider that turns into a Nor’easter

“Nothing is showing on radar, but it’s snowing harder than it has all season”

Interesting that the 6z GFS showed a very similar setup with a clipper/ULL type system this coming Sunday evening for much of ETN. Obviously, 7 days out, but the GFS has done a good job of sniffing out potential

A little OT, but I feel terrible for the Raleigh snow lovers. They have been dry slotted this entire time. Pretty crazy to look at on radar.

Yep..noticed the same thing too. By the way, looks like we live really close to each other.

No one else is shocked! Your location over performs 90% of the time!

@Holston_River_Rambleris the ULL back towards Arkansas right now?

Does anyone know where the ULL is currently?

You are going to have your 0.5” before the main event even starts! Lol!

It wasn’t really supposed to start for you until later tonight, correct? I was thinking around 7 pm. I thought this was just the appetizer that showed up on the models prior to the ULL rolling through

On the point and click?

New update: Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Morristown TN 1248 PM EST Fri Jan 30 2026 TNZ014-015-037>039-068>071-073-086-VAZ001-310915- /O.CON.KMRX.WS.W.0003.260130T1800Z-260201T0600Z/ Claiborne-Hancock-Union-Grainger-Hamblen-Loudon-Knox-Jefferson- Northwest Blount-North Sevier-Northwest Monroe-Lee- Including the cities of Lenoir City, Maynardville, Luttrell, Morristown, Arthur, Happy Valley, Pigeon Forge, Springdale, Evanston, Sharps Chapel, Seymour, Sneedville, Treadway, Knoxville, Bullet Creek, White Pine, Bean Station, Kyles Ford, Lake Forest, Strawberry Plains, Chestnut Hill, Rose Hill, Russellville, McMahan, Madisonville, Bearden, Jefferson City, Dandridge, Kodak, Harrisburg, Sevierville, Alpha, Harrogate-Shawanee, Loudon, Clairfield, Lone Mountain, Paulette, Sweetwater, Sandlick, Norris Lake, Alcoa, Maryville, and Howard Quarter 1248 PM EST Fri Jan 30 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 3 to 9 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...3 to 6 inches of snow are expected between Lee County VA and south toward the I-40 corridor in TN. 4 to 7 inches along the I-40 corridor and south toward the foothills of the east TN mountains. Locally higher amounts up to 9 inches across the foothills of the east TN mountains. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Travel could become difficult by this evening. Hazardous travel conditions are expected overnight into Saturday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$

lol! Yea, he’s a little all over the place

@GBOVolz are you still on VQ? Ol’ Matt has a Snowquest thread going. About an hour ago, he posted that snow totals were coming down in and around Knox. Not sure where’s he seeing that unless he’s looking at the NAM. Everything else has been consistent. I know he’s apparently a meteorologist which made me wonder what he’s looking at.

Exact opposite is happening in West Knox. Already at 35 degrees. Need the cloud deck to thicken

Anyone have a map or gif of where the ULL is currently?

Not that it matters a ton, but I’m seeing the last update was at 12:01 AM with 4 to 6 inches. Am I missing a new update?

CMC at 0z is very similar to RGEM as you would hope/expect

NWS just updated WSW…now says 3-5 inches Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Morristown TN 1036 PM EST Thu Jan 29 2026 TNZ015-038-039-069>071-073-VAZ001-301800- /O.CON.KMRX.WS.W.0003.260130T1800Z-260201T0600Z/ Hancock-Grainger-Hamblen-Knox-Jefferson-Northwest Blount-North Sevier-Lee- Including the cities of Chestnut Hill, Strawberry Plains, Kodak, Dandridge, Pigeon Forge, McMahan, Happy Valley, Jefferson City, Knoxville, Alcoa, Sevierville, Sneedville, Kyles Ford, Treadway, Harrisburg, Morristown, Bearden, Seymour, Rose Hill, Evanston, Alpha, Maryville, Bean Station, Lake Forest, Russellville, and White Pine 1036 PM EST Thu Jan 29 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 3 and 5 inches. * WHERE...Portions of east Tennessee and southwest Virginia. * WHEN...From 1 PM Friday to 1 AM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. &&

It looks to me like it’s been a tad further west with the ULL.

Was just coming to post the same. On my phone, but from what I could tell it did increase totals from 18z in most locations in ETN

Good call out and info! Thanks

Yea…I miffed by the NBM. It’s interesting that it looks like it uses old data/model runs. Please let us know what you find out.

1-2” back to Nashville, 3-4” plateau, 5-6” around Knox, 6-8+ up in NETN