Vol4Life
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Was the difference that the ULL closed off further west and south?
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Would it be possible to post map? I don’t have access to 18z
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The models have been showing a pretty abrupt cutoff. For example, Knox County is being shown on multiple models as a 4+ inch difference from east Knox to west Knox.
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Besides the RGEM and GEFS (looked decent), I’m not really liking the 18z suite
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I honestly don’t love that run of NAM. Better than 12Z, but we need it to close off further w/sw
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Yes, it wouldn’t take much 50-100 miles makes a world of difference.
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Kuchera looks a little more promising. 3.4” at TYS
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Something is going on with the Euro. It is still stuck at 75h. Wouldn’t be surprised if there’s some feedback issues.
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You said earlier that you’d take an inch. This is for greater than 2”. The hope is still alive! lol!
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How different is it from 06z? I feel like it hasn’t been firmly in the camp with GFS and CMC. It’s made steps towards those solutions, but is still barely on the outside looking in.
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Good write up from NWS that came out about 15 min ago. They are starting to buy in. On phone…tried to copy, but I can’t get it to post here.
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I tend to trust the AIGFS a little more with precip totals….not just because it’s better for my backyard, but in its short time of existence, it appears to be a little more reliable.
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It looks like the Low pressure was at or just inside Cape Hatteras at 84 on RGEM
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RGEM shows 2+ from Nashville eastward. At 84, TYS has 3.5” and it’s still snowing from the plateau eastward
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RGEM looks good out to 75
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Yes, I guess that’s due to snow downsloping issues maybe. Either way, would love for the precip shield to keep growing back to the west.
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100%! Just giving him a hard time. For all the time and effort he puts into this board, he deserves a huge snow!
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GEFS mean at 0z is almost identical to 18z Edit: 0z is a a little improved.
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CMC at 0z is a nice hit from Nashville East. Improvement from 12z with westward expansion of accumulation
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Ol’ Carver is downplaying this and he’s going to end up with a foot! lol!
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Perfect.
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Noticeable differences at 500 between NAM 18z and 00z. 00z dug more and was further west.
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Yep…NAM is looking good for ETN
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NAM looks to be shifting west too so far.
