40/70 Benchmark

I'm okay with sitting this one out....CT can have it. I'm at peace with this not being my year. I opt against the shit commute to get home and see wife and kid.

Yea, def more WAA here.

Not on a seasonal scale you do not, which is what I meant...maybe 25% of the time?

Exactly. Only one of those seasons had a major east coast event, which was the Jan 2000 mid atlantic system, which we apparently can't count since Georogie's hood smoked cirrus. 1955-1956 may have had one...decent season, and even 1975-1976 was respectable, but super el nino is more prone to big east coast storms.

I think part of the reason is the earlier start time back that way. Just one of those seasons....savor it because you won't best this area often.

Firstly, SW NE did get a good deal of snow from that Jan 2016 event, and the Dec 1997 was very prolific north of Boston, regardless of what took place in your back yard. Additionally, those three la nina events were barely over the strong threshold. Secondly, you can't count one season three times. 2/3 of those la nina seasons featured no major SNE events...all three of those super el nino seasons did. Sorry, but you're wrong. The prominent STJ in stronger el nino seasons, while not ideal for this region, is better for the prospects of major winter storm than a strong la nina regime. Additionally, el nino is more highly correlated with neg NAO, than la nina, which is another reason why it is more beneficial.

Sweet. Enjoy...go howl at the moon

Rain in Chelsea

I can't be far off, though you are bit further inland. 36

Looks look a painting or a pillow case lol

36.1/32.3

I was shocked....you always cover your tracks.

Nothing in Chelsea, yet.

Wet bulbing...down to 37.0 now. Should hit 35 IMO.

The only aspect that was la nina like was the prevalent RNA during the second half, although there have been past la nina seasons that featured good deal of blocking.

37.6/30.7 Down from Hi of 38.7

You sure? Wife confirmed flurries in Methuen...or as Kev says, "Metheun".

I get what you mean in that past ENSO composites need to be modified, but I'm not sure that that will change the fact that there is a more prominent STJ during el nino than la nina...or let me rephrase, until I see evidence that that is no longer the case, I'll take my chances on scoring a big fish in a strong el nino, rather than la nina.

WB is like 35, though...

I am cooked at home. 38.1/29.9

Yea, strong canonical el nino seasons are very mild....no debating that.

How prominent was your expanded HC in Feb 1983 and Dec 1997? What it means is that high-end events are much more frequent in strong el nino seasons than in strong la nina seasons during the period of record, regardless of why.

Does the wife know you and he are that close?

Nice. Maybe Kev sniffed one out-

No, because I would have the day off, unlike for 2" of "who cares"-