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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    True. Though I think 2010-2011 was decent down there, no?
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, to be fair, we've had a warm ENSO that acted like a cold ENSO, a torch el nino and triple dip la nina. I think he is very good, but just acts like a complete jerk with some sort of personality disorder(s).
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Neg NAO /RNA is a nice pattern
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Neither of those look bad.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    33.6 this AM
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    3.4 remained steady at -0.8 at of 10/5. This event is running out of time pretty quickly to even peak as a bonafide moderate event, especially if it decays as quickly as guidance suggests.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Go west, my friend.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm sure it won't be, like 99 out of 100 "severe" threats around here. I'll go waaaaaay out on a limb and guess that the storms will be more ominous through the Berkshires and into the ORH hills, and then weaken markedly as they descend the spine and onto the coastal plane. I haven't labored through any CAPE maps, but just a wild shot in the dark....
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'd take my chances with that.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    95-96 was pretty weakly coupled, but 2010-2011 is a prime example of a powerful and strongly coupled la nina that worked out well.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    My reading comp isn't perfect by any means, but the post seems to be implying reason for pause with respect to wholesale changes, as guidance has been exhibiting a -PNA bias and the NAO looks to dip decidedly negative.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    MEI held serve at -1.8 for AS.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have no issue with ORH, but would prefer December. I have a bunch of bdays in Novie, including my own, plus I'll be hammering out the outlook early on.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    At least this will be one season in which I won't have to deal with him passively aggressively insinuating that I copied his forecast.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Down to 35.1 last night.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    My birthday is on the 16th and I'm not sure when the family will be getting together, which is the only reason I suggested end of the month.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Normally I'd drop in that thread to compliment his work and try to spark some discussion, but I'm just done. It's a lost cause.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Low of 30.6
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    31.3
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    First frost forming on the deck rails....32.9
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    How about Saturday 11/26, the Saturday after Tday?
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Of course, I start in last place....make sense.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its like that scene from Tommy Boy, when he explains how he gets too excited and kills the sale/deal...that is the met community with respect to new seasonal forecasting tools like the SAI. lol
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Society today is so geared towards instant gratification, which fuels this incessant crusade for that "silver bullet" with respect to seasonal forecasting that just doesn't exist. Its a puzzle and you try to gather as much info in order to properly fit as many pieces as you can in order to provide the clearest and most accurate picture.
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