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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, all set with an inch or three of slush.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    10/50 are worth my time. Not bad...
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Pounding sleet
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    It adds insult to injury IMO. I'd rather just torch the whole east coast.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    It wasn't that it was "a whisker weak enough". It was a totally different type of el nino from the ones that torch. It was the polar opposite of 97-98..not remotely close and total opposite from it on the modoki spectrum. A better way to phrase it is that if it were slightly stronger, than it probably would have been more east based and canonical on the modoki spectrum.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right, but the problem in December 2022 was that the PV lobe was pinned underneath the block too far to the west, which also pulled the blizzard back to the west.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    The focus in winter seasonal forecasting is on the pattern....H5 plots, etc. This is why I try to add in text narrative explicitly outlining how I expect the season to evolve, which includes snowfall, etc...that is the result.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right. I'm sure there are plenty of years which featured a pronounced dearth of snow not comensurste with the degree of opportunity. This was my point about distinguishing between a rat pattern and rat results. Some were rat on both respects...this year on results. But I'm sorry, an extreme NAO block like that near the winter solstice is not a rat pattern. Find that in 2011 or 2001...or 2006.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    It wasn't a ratter pattern even there. Look at December...that was awful luck.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Problem is that some fail to differentiate the pattern from the result....there is a spectrum of sorts. This year is merely a subpar pattern with a ratter result.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    BS Most of the snow lovers on this board will take 2 feet anytime. Is December preferable to March? Sure.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I still have a few inches in the background, but coverage is fading.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's a good example of why I keep telling that snowman dude to stop cramming tweets of PV charts down people's throats....you don't need a complete evisceration of the arctic to see snow in New England.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Some locales are going to be primed for a run at futility.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Webb is a cocky little prick.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I still think March can be decent, but I'm done holding my breath and arguing against the ratter camp.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think everyone of us would sign on the dotted line to worm-hole our way out of this god forsaken cold season, at this point. There is no bigger meteorological purgatory than a cold season that won't produce.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Things I missed while having the kids all day and being off line..... 0
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Funny how the past two epic cold air masses have each occured in terd winters...2015-2016 and this year.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hopefully north of me...no thanks. Dnt care for days of power loss with a new born and two toddlers.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just assume rain with every event until something otherwise appears imminent.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    9.1 from a low of -12.2
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its okay within 30 days...
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