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40/70 Benchmark

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/01/first-call-for-potential-weekend.html Took a lot of balls for me to hedge this strongly right now, but 'alas....
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have a feeling the 00z runs will be therapeutic enough...but just in case, cope ahead. lol
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I do therapy sessions from home, so I'll pass lol
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    This going to settle and tick best west a bit tonight, IMO....however, in the mean time, I will book telehealth for any WOR clients who see fit- We can contract for safety...
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Gimme like an hour..
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is turning into more a hybrid than pure Miller A
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Your thinking changed at all?
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not attacking you, just the idea that we should disregard that run
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    That run of the EURO looks just like March 14, 2018 just before it hit....I agree it would throw precip further west than that, though. Point is that it also appeared to jackpot PYM then, too....ended up IMBY
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    How many of those tweets could you find two weeks ago? You probably didn't care because you got the 10mile wide band...
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, more often than not its a real flag.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I still give you double digits.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is exactly what I expected to happen...I knew the early capture and stall was BS....I think we are arriving at our solution....deform from me to perhaps CTRV as western goal post
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I like my area for mid levels
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, was just gonna say...that run is 2'+here.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    The qualifiers are starting to emerge in posts
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Said everyone before my two week prior boning lol
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Man, get outta my head lol
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not sure about that....I mean, if they really tighten, maybe residence time is decreased and they collpase back se faster? NAM was kind of like that
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    The only way this rule RE NW adjustment for band fails is if mid levels just fail to develop in time, but that is unlikely...question is more just about closure to prolong things.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Typical? Its just all track specific....some deform me, some deform the Adirondacks...depends on track and size of circulation.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Absolutely...thank you. Then correct that 30-50 mi further NW.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am assuming it won't place said gradient far enough west on model output.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right.....which is why they probably won't jackpot, as it looked like maybe yesterday. ORH will be just far enough west to get that, and I'll be just far enough east to miss it.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    YES. I am confident. Tremendous inflow
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