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40/70 Benchmark

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not sure why we feel the need to blast people for voicing the fact that 7-10" is dissappointing given this had the potential for so much more..."stupidity"? 'Cmon, dude...40" was a very long shot, but this had a very realistic chance to be a pretty high end ordeal and now it isn't. I'm not sure why storm enthusiasts need to pretend that doesn't blow while at the same time being glad that there is a bonafide event en route during a shitty season. The two aren't mutually exclusive.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, IP transitioned to some moderate freezing rain last night while I was shoveling...pack is glazed.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nah...its like 8" here. To me, that is pedestrian...didn't mean to give anyone the wrong idea. Nice storm.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    +4" 25.5"
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I had 4".
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think so. The ceiling is certainly lowering, but I'd be pretty shocked if it isn't a widespread warning event.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I agree...I think the capture and crawl scenario has crawled away. We need to hope that wave can close off faster on it's own, which is possible.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think it's becoming clear that the route to a big storm is to hope that wave can kind go to town in its own faster...that is the hope for a foot or more, otherwise it's a warning event...which is still no small feat this year.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks like that PV energy is a no-go....about 36 hours off on the timing. That lead wave is all in its own, and looked better in a discrete sense, but the less interaction with the PV outweighed that so it was a net loss-pedestrian.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Man, I looked at H5 south of LI and thought the EURO looked better than 12z,but the clown cut it in half.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Very Skillful Thursday (2/23) Forecast Not much to analyze in the aftermath of this system, as the Eastern Mass Weather Final Call was very accurate overall. Final Call: Reality: The only minor flaw is that perhaps the southern periphery of the 1-3" zone could have been slightly further to the north, over the Mass border from Connecticut and Rhode Island. Final Grade: A
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    One of my better efforts, as I had it pretty much nailed down on Sunday. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/02/very-skillful-thursday-223-forecast.html
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    He may not realize it, but he doesn't want that in the canal.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    12z EPS was most impressive yet IMO...8-9" mean.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is on the table if the 50/50 is east/less pronounced.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Okay then...I haven't looked. I'm just seeing the dreaded "Inv" acronym and dreading the prospect of us being "there"...lol
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    You know my thoughts on inverted troughs...inverted trough IN....Ray OUT....out on that modeled depiction, per se. Not necessarily big snows. Guidance will either correct towards a more tradition phase/larger storm, or less snow. But that inverted trough idea is crap.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think its decent in the deformation area.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I mean the surface.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Eh...we always have the draft to fall back on lol
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    22.1 Euro nailed the low level cold...NAM sucked.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Long duration is always higher stakes to me because of the dichotomous nature in which I perceive it..its either a stalled tempest, or one of those protracted ordeal that Kevin loves that breed debates about measuring technique...to swipe and clear or not to swipe and clear lol Like 9" over 3 days, never more than 1/2" per hour or 7" depth
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm hoping for some oes
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Over 12" is not a pipe dream. 30" is.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Longer duration is a catch 22...its great if it's a phased solution that slows....but a long duration of 8" just means you never get fun rates lol
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