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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Yea, neither did I....but the same reason I think forecasting snowfall at a seasonal level is fun, is why most don't bother....its so unpredictable. I think its fun. You just never know....and it evens out, for the most part.
  2. Yea, forecasters need to stop rip n' reading theJMA...its not all is cracked up to be-
  3. Its funny to ball bust and poke fun in hindsight....but at the end of the day, I expected a -PNA with some periods of strong NAO blocking....and that has worked out. I'm not embarrassed to say that I didn't expect snowfall to turn out so paltry given those background states. Win some, lose some. This is why forecasting snowfall is such a crapshoot at a seasonal level....I nailed the pattern 2/3 months, but the favorable portion of the forecast (window for snow) just didn't produce.
  4. Well, the NAO never "forces" anything....it just acts as a block, but it never forces the pattern...that's always either the Pacific or strat.
  5. I don't mean the whole season...just the modeled stretch ahead with the sharp gradient around my area.
  6. This pattern is reminding me of 12/2007 a bit...
  7. Neg NAO raises the ceiling, which is why I like it, but doesn't guarantee said ceiling will be reached.
  8. Well, I tossed the analog out there bc is was a big storm....that whiffed us....$hit for brains lol
  9. No, my nightmare is like around a foot while most spots are 2'+. PD II, Dec 2003 and Jan 2022 the worst.
  10. Just slashing at each other with Kocin books.
  11. Yikes...celebrity weenie cage matches...gtgs would be much better attended. Hell, I bet the Maine peeps would even make the journey for that.
  12. I honestly don't care much....at this point, I'm not going to melt over missing out on 4".
  13. I thought you were talking about snow down to at least rt 2 and maybe the pike, yesterday .
  14. Well, I know when I was discussing typical SWFE north trends, I meant aloft in the mid levels.....I've always gotten why the surface can stay colder. Looks like this is a typical SWFE where it matters in terms of snowfall...the mid levels. Figured that.
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