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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. NARCAN is good with thermals away from the immediate coast, and banding....it can be too stingy near the ocean. If it is still that robust come Thursday, I will def consider it more strongly.
  2. Yea, there is a shot for the transfer coupled with the easterly fetch to do that, but I wasn't going there on Sunday, when I issued that first map.
  3. Actually, I lied...I did some bitching the next day when BOX tossed my 31" total.
  4. I was like that in March 2018....took me a good year or so to start b*tching again.
  5. Plenty of time to consider the really big totals, but in this set up, I wouldn't go over a foot until really close in. You need a lot to go right.
  6. Maybe a little bonanza just inland and through NE MA back to the east slopes of the ORH hills on that easterly fetch.
  7. Why do you broach that issue with me like every day? lol Its pretty robust, I get it....I don't rip and read it. Its the best algorithm for determining precip type, but its still just a tool. Also, its only as good as the data that the model is spitting out, so if the modeled QPF is overdone, so will its snow output. I'll still sell widespread amounts over a foot.
  8. That's probably about right....gradient just north of me. Not even kidding.
  9. Kutchera maps can be useful in deformation bands, but that's about it.
  10. For an hour or two before it steady collapses to Weymouth, where it belongs. lol
  11. Not a fan of Upton generally speaking, but that jives fairly well with my first look from Sunday.
  12. I guess it depends on how close the SLP tracks...12/16/07 had a great high north of ME, and that ended up getting the front back to about Tyngsborough....I hit the upper 30's in Wilmington.
  13. Gun to head now, I would go warning from about you points northward, and advisory south of there.
  14. Really? Usually with a high that well positioned, it would be near the coast.
  15. The way that this past few years has gone, I expect some kind of gradient over about Derry, NH.
  16. That is the one wild card that I have been watching. I don't think it happens quickly enough for any amounts over a foot, but it may be enough to mitigate sleep migration northward.
  17. I still expect at least a bit of IP or maybe some rimed flakes where I am, at least for a bit, but I do not expect it to limit accumulations much....at this point.
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