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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. That swath just N of the Greater Antilles and through the Bahamas, towards Miami is my favorite tropical path.
  2. I have .65" for the entire month. He's alive and well here. If I don't manage big rains Tuesday, I feel like he's here to stay.
  3. I wasn't calling Tom out and he owes us nothing.....allowing us the privilege of reading his work over the past several years was a real gift. I was simply speculating on the rationale as to why he abruptly stopped not only contributing weather insight, but any type of engagement whatsoever. Just thought it was strange to suddenly go mute and lurk....wasn't meant to be an indictment.
  4. Oh, I know....love Tom's work. @raindancewxis one of the better ones, too IMO.
  5. You wanna see me really blow a gasket, watch me get rained on with a slew of tracks near 495 over the course of the next several years.
  6. Speak for yourself. MEHthuen...where weather goes to die.
  7. I don't argue your point, but the shearing last December was the result of a record RNA abutting a solid NAO block. That would have sheared on Ginxy's great, great, great, great, great grand dogs back in 1633.
  8. Lucky you weren't allergic that could have been bad. I got stung by one yellow jacket as a kid, and I had to go to the ER because my hand blew up. If I had gotten stung 14 times, I would have been in serious peril.
  9. I was allergic as a child, but it went away. Still the only allergy I have ever had to date, that I know of.
  10. On top of this, the family is away, the Red Sox blow big ones and my fantasy team is out contention. Its dire straits right now.
  11. Right.....only I would phrase it "shut up until you put up".
  12. I'm not sure this research really offers any new findings.....+QBO/la nina correlate to a stronger PV, and -QBO/la nina to a weaker PV, but as last season illustrated, this is but one piece to the puzzle.
  13. All it means for me is more traffic....nothing, and I do mean nothing congests traffic like a school bus.
  14. I'm just at wit's end with boring dating back to last winter.....the season ended with a whimper, then we can't so much as buy a rain drop or even any viable tropical entity, threat to land be damned.
  15. That wasn't directed at you, or anyone in particular. Just a general sentiment.
  16. I'm just in complete "believe when see" mode with respect to the tropics right now. I don't care to look, or even discuss any model output and you frankly couldn't pay me two give a rat's ass until something actually develops and is flourishing on the map in real time. I just have no interest in the latest 240 hour artifact of your laptop whipping up the virtual Gulf.
  17. Usually its not a big deal because SSTs are very malleable, but maybe early in the season the coast has a bit more trouble than usual...it should also aid baroclinicity.
  18. Obs/Disc Unless we pull off a tropical hail Mary, this is one to fast forward through.
  19. Always instills a lot of confidence when you need to long for a DGEX like extension in order to see the potential fruits of the season.
  20. I have a feeling MBY finally gets a good soaking today.
  21. In the past when that was the case, people just said that. You would also think maybe his blog would go paywall for something, but just abandoned. Strange.
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