40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Too easy....I'll let a novice do the honors...
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Weak events focus on SNE, and stronger mid atl....but good for all.
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1963-1964 is borderline with respect to meeting the criteria....
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For those feeling down and out about recent winters, take solace in warm ENSO following 3+ consecutive years of cold ENSO:
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I could do without the -90 experience.
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As cool as it would be to live there an experience that, I don't think I would be as into the seasonal forecasting aspect. Its such a rush to chase the unique set of seasonal variables that marry and lend themselves to a great winter here...its what drives the ambition to try to sort the pieces to the puzzle out correctly. I feel like living in a LE snowbelt would be like playing against the atmosphere in an ice hockey game in which the atmosphere has its goalie pulled all year.
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They have a bit more elevation there, no?
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I am the supervisor....and clinician, and biller. And yes, I talked to myself about it....A LOT, after that Xmas storm went down the drain.
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I'm not saying the demise is imminent or anything, but pop an Aleutian ridge in Feb and then maybe get some ENSO related help in March. I'm usually not big on the "la nina will weaken and save the winter" mantra, but it may help a bit this year.
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I have a client from East Aurora...he was complaining about shoveling during xmas at home. But thankfully, he "only had 3 feet", as comparted to his sister in a north town. I wanted to strangle him-
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1955-1956 didn't technically die off until the next fall. ' 1955 -0.7 -0.6 -0.7 -0.8 -0.8 -0.7 -0.7 -0.7 -1.1 -1.4 -1.7 -1.5 1956 -1.1 -0.8 -0.6 -0.5 -0.5 -0.5 -0.6 -0.6 -0.5
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It doesn't have to "die"....the atmospheric changes lead the SST, anyway, to a large extent.
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1955-1956...though that January looked quite a bit different.
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@BuffaloWeatherI wanna chase that shit one day when my kids are a bit older....we gotta link up.
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I would imagine milder lake SSTs lead to greater instability, which is how you get like 12 consecutive hours of T Snow.
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Yea, a lot of the crap milder winters end up good for you because the lakes remain relatively warm and unfrozen later...whenever we do get a rouge cold shot...BANG.
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I still say this is the big analog moving forward...
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Big diff is that we had the PIG in full effect that season...this year we really don't, which engenders more hope than that year.
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GLOBAL WARMING!!!!!
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3.5". It will flip....
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Again, super strong PV early on an about as hostile a pattern as one could get until it flipped in Feb. 1989 was arctic cold December...
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No. That season has a super strong PV all season and no hint of blocking. This season reminds me of 2001-2002, so far.....kind of a blocky December that just didn't produce, and then the PAC jet just dominated. Nothing looked awful on paper, and long range guidance kept advertising change, and we waited all season long.
