40/70 Benchmark

They probably have better retention that the E MA CP because they don't get the marine intrusions or the DSD days....kind of the inverse on how Kev doesn't get upslope like the ORH hills because he is more of a single hill than a chain. That area of VT doesn't get the general downslope on a prevailing westerly flow like the CP does.

Kind of plays in to what you and I were discussing last night with respect to how being in an interior valley can be worse than being on the interior CP....unless it's December and you rip ENE at the surface.

I can't believe that I average more than they do....never would have guessed that. What an armpit.

That looks nice, but show me the EPS.

In all seriousness, I wouldn't have a First call until tomorrow, at the earliest.

Yea, the GEM is more like yesterday's runs.

Ruthless clowns

That just happened last event and I never touched it.

Funny how seasonal trends supposedly don't matter, yet we see the same damn trend we have all season.

I'd rather that than what is modeled at the moment.

Yea, I was dissapointed last night. Oh well.

I'm always up that late on a weekend...only difference was I posted.

The southward tend on the EPS has ceased....looks to about steady from 18z and a tick N of the nuts 12z run. Trend tonight on the EURO suite is a bit less of an impressive of a system overall, but this is largely noise.

Case en point...the 00z EURO.

Pretty significant move south on the GEPS....little. Less tenuous SOP and over the CP.

Better NOP...precarious SOP.

00z GEFS are a bit better than 18z...pretty similar.

GEM looks good.

Like the AI. Just check the ens mean.

I knew there was a reason no one commented on the 00z GFS...

Yep, exactly. My first post wasn't very clear, so I get the initial confusion.

@NoCORH4LWhat I mean is that often times in marginal Spring snow storms, the interior valleys struggle more than the coastal plain of interior NE MA....largely due to the fact that there is no element of downslope on the coastal plain during these storms, which can be fatal when thermals are borderline. Additionally, if there is a cold source north of ME, then it can funnel into this area. Take a look at some of the snow maps from historic spring storms.....there is often an appendage of somewhat higher amounts arching from the ORH hills into interior ne MA. This is especially relevant here since the primary may be gaining quite bit of latitude prior to the transfer.

The EURO AI continues to be waaaaay north.

I think significant threat is from around my area and northward on the CP.