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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Looks like maybe something around March 9-10ish....
  2. Part of it is we always have those limp ridges off of the west coast
  3. This has to be the most useless season relative to potential since 2009-2010.
  4. Blind persistence forecasting is one thing, but there is something to be said for identifying an unfavorable nuance in the longer wave pattern...sure, wavelengths are changing, but I'll still bet against anything other than maybe a couple of mixed bag, garbage advisory type deals that will of course coincide with commutes and be a collosal nuisance...AKA bouts of ass mist.
  5. Nah, no one is honestly angry. Steve is good at those, though lol
  6. My work was pretty flawed, too...getting the snowfall largely right was luck bc I didn't get alot of the pattern right.
  7. I think if you did a poll, most would agree I'm not shy about acknowledging poor efforts.
  8. No..I'm just adding in empirical facts. Previous two were dumpster fires.
  9. My snow forecast was actually pretty good this year...and I was too warm.
  10. There once was an old man named Steve, Who thought he had good forecasting tricks up his sleeve But after a year or two of limited success doing Ginxy's Gale He decided to bail While some appreciated the effort and game him no slack He opted instead to become a permanent Monday AM quarterback.
  11. All Cold All of The Time for Steve Despite the clarity the PV will leave Steve happily waites w shovel in hand while scooter sits w a scowl Snow never falls but Steve finds use for the shovel when the dogs move their bowels. Alas the maps looked great but the low had a nipple That is the only reason SNE won't be crippled.
  12. The everywhere to SNE gradient has been impressive.
  13. I was comparing the split to 2018 and it was similar in the sense that it funneled ample cold into the eastern US...as you know, some of these PV disruptions send all of the cold to the other side of the globe. The big NE snows not working out is more due to issues with the western ridge...nothing to do with the PV split.
  14. I think referring to the PV split as a phantom event because it didn't result in an east coast blizzard is pretty silly.
  15. What was phantom?? That 2018 event verified quite strongly....this past February wasn't a SSW. The PV split definitely occurred, but it was born of lower level processes and definitely induced a cold pattern.
  16. That is my hope for next year....I think that would be a bullish signal for next winter.
  17. That is true about him, but this particular claim has traction.
  18. The "bottom up" split earlier this month, on the 10th, certainly was a curveball that biased the month colder. But this would be more in line with my original expectation.
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