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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I was listening to Cold Play on radio just re-reading...this song always reminds me of that storm and month.
  2. Yes, the next one...thought so. I remember I worked Sunday's at MB for time and a half in those days and I had gotten home in the evening from that shift and just disrobed to that AFD.
  3. There was a better version that mentioned equal to or exceeding Blizz of '78 headline.
  4. Practice warming your tushy on the black car seat?
  5. I had like and 8.5" and a 14" storm like 3 days apart in early April...Sox game was snowed out. Once in a lifetime season.
  6. I will never forget @wdrag's epic AFD at BOX on the Sunday evening of 3/4/2001....still have it printed and saved somewhere. Best ever.
  7. Where is that? I hope it works out for the SOP guys....I don't expect much, but I am rooting for them down there.
  8. ......everything. Especially when there is emotional investment involved.
  9. I could totally see the month just kind of being normal....which ends up as another subpar season, and a lack of blocking would leave less margin for error. Agreed.
  10. That may shed some light on the NAO....we'll see what happpens....
  11. I feel like there is some obfuscation and equivocation going on here....everything has gone so shitty for so long that people are conditioned to assume that that will continue, which triggers skepticism of objective analysis of guidance that isn't dire or offers reason for optimism. I agree regarding the blocking, but I see no reason to doubt the favorable Pac look during a time that is climo favored to look like that in a warm ENSO.
  12. Care to comment on my take? Where is the lack objectivity? What do you disagree with??
  13. TBH, the GEFS maybe the safest outcome (high floor) from an IMBY standpoint....that looks almost La Nina like. The GEPS and EPS are high stakes.....greater ceiling-lower floor.
  14. Okay, so.... 1) You are assuming the GEFS is correct over the EPS and GEPS in slowing the MJO, which has not worked all year... 2) And you are assuming that the eastern heights will verify higher than forecasted by even the GEFS. Got it.
  15. GEFS could have a latitudinal gradient running through our area, but I see no issue with the GEPS and EPS.
  16. That is kind of a la Nina look on the GEFS.
  17. GEPS is the same general theme and the GEFS is more of a gradient pattern.
  18. I see no issue to start February.....EPS and GEPS look great and the GEFS is more of a gradient look that can work in SNE with a cold Canada.
  19. No way. The only area I am somewhat worried about is coastal SNE....for everyone else normal is well within reach, but even for coastal SNE. People become mired in these negative thought patterns when it isn't snowing much and it impacts their ability to objectively assess how quickly 1-2 large events and a few minors can change things.
  20. Yea, we are probably a couple of inches below normal....not much.
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