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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Well, like I said....especially in season, he doesn't offer alot of speculation on the extended range that exceeds simple data inrepretation....once the data changes, he will change...just admits he doesn't "know if its right". He is more a medium range guy.
  2. That's the thing...I think they are related....that and La Nina orientation in stronger events factors in.
  3. I was away in the Marines for that....I was gone from mid January into early August....just came home on leave to get boned by PDII.
  4. 2005 was the worst...I remmber that May, I was commuting my first year at UML...it was a blustery nor' easter with temps in the 40s like every weekend.
  5. Assuming a high ACE/La Nina, really the only subpar season is 1998-1999...and once you get above 200 ACE they are all decent...2005-2006 probably being the floor.
  6. DT pulled the plug like a week or two ago....last year he pulled the plug in December....he is more focused on data interpreation than long range predicitng, though.
  7. Overrated, Yes. But I would still rather have it all things being equal.
  8. Warm spring, and I still had some snow piles around town in June. Nuts.
  9. He thought it would be better than this and he thought last year would be good.
  10. Especially after next year we are going to enter into a stretch of a few years that will not feature much high latitude blocking at all IMO, so the extra tropical Pacific needs to improve.
  11. It will be less favorable for blocking next year, but if the ACE gets very high, then the extra tropical Pacific should be at least a bit better....otherwise, find a new hobby.
  12. I think you can start by looking at 1998-1999 next year....better hope and pray the ACE gets over 200 this summer IMHO.
  13. That was me the previous few years...I've done okay relative to the most of the region during the ratters, but always suck in the decent years
  14. You got hosed in both the one that blitzed my area and the CT deal....brutal. This is my worst since 2012 right now and I don't see much more snow.
  15. Edged it by 13.27...pretty trivial, but nonetheless....
  16. That is my March composite from early Novie against the current CFS, which has done quite well this season.
  17. I never fell for the early March head-fake. But I def. thought February would have been better than is has.
  18. I would definitely want a appreciably healthy La Nina next season given a very high ACE...say near 200+...
  19. Clearly.... But if your point is that CC doesn't prevent the aggregate of the spring season from sucking around here, then sure...I agree. But it most certainly will mean a few more bum-warmers in the car. Just keep in mind that the magnitude of warming necessary to dramitcally impact the weather is much less than that which is needed to be readily palpable to the masses.
  20. Do you understand how significant that is? What do you expect, what would have been a 50 degree day 30 years ago to be 70 now due to CC?
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