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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I'm pretty confident January won't look like that, but let's see.
  2. 2008 was the best ENSO analog, as I have been saying...folks bailed on La Nina too quickly.
  3. Yea, I feel good about January...just speaking of the holiday period.
  4. I actually hadn't posted that, but meant to. I would be alot more excited in January or February inside of I 495 and especially rt 128. I am screwed if winds are NE, as opposed to NNE. Get to like ASH and it may be okay.
  5. Yea, I saw that...but I'm all set entertaining the notion of (or relying on) PV lobe infusuion for decent snowfall. Again, none of this skepticism is directed at John....no issue with the thread at all and is def. warranted.
  6. Frustration sandwich between the weather and baseall team....each replete with blue-balls for several years now.
  7. "Full-throttle in January"...the big aqcuisition will be a limp dick snowfall with no baroclinicity.
  8. If we're really lucky, maybe a shot of Hubb Dave's yard with him and Juan Soto tobogganing through a field.
  9. Yea, the Xmas week potental to me is akin to a NESN article from the interest Kings...."We are really interested in snowing Xmas week"....."snow is in the mix"......"a wintry outcome is making a competeitive bid to get within 50 miles of the coast". Rest assured, the next and final update will be when you look out your window and see puddles and the only consolation is pictures of @powderfreak's Mansfield stake with a mistletoe on top.
  10. I was just looking at 00z. Yea, I have no issue with the longwave pattern...but good luck with the lack of antecedent airmass and SSTs near 50*. This is why I am saying the ceiling here is a rt 128 type of storm. That has real December 1996 vibes.
  11. This is what I was just noticing...made some comments over in Tip's thread. This is going to be a tedious needle-threader....the ceiling is probably a theramal field a akin to last January, or early Feb 2021....the coast is going to struggle, regardless. This would be more doable for the coast a month or two from now.
  12. We could also just luck out given the placement of that ridge out west, despite the hostile polar fields....ensembles have that vibe....EPS and GEFS. Interesting to watch. Trough placement may make it tough to hug too much, despite the look up north.
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