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40/70 Benchmark

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Definitely going to have to be a Saturday if we do ORH......I know some of the Clarke's GTG's have been on a weeknight, but I'm not driving to ORH on a weeknight.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Sure.....however, average is a relative term that is climate-based...is -PDO drier than +PDO on average? Sure....but I would argue that its not as likely to remain this dry as it was 50 years ago, just as the cold from those archaic -PDO/NAO analogs are no longer working out.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Remember...the changing climate stuff works both ways....Just as we are not as likely to see sustained cold moving forward as we have been in past analog, nor are we as likely to see sustained dry conditions moving forward.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, it is concerning, but not a death-knell.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Instead of me arbitrarily selecting a few dates, why don't we begin with some suggestions from those who are likely to make a strong effort to attend and then I can use that feedback to inform a subsequent poll. As far as locale, perhaps we can poll that right off of the bat. I would prefer we meet in ORH just so that more of the WNE crew would feel compelled to attend and then some of us easties could always even do a side thing at Clarke's....
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    What an absolutely brutal list of winters.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    The NP/EP has a comparable domain space to that of the EPO, however, it has the opposite correlations....ie +NP-EP is more favorable for east coast cold/snow. What I do for purposes of verification is flip the NP-EP and use it as EPO.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have that....its the more modern verison of the EPO, however, the NP-EP is different from the original EPO.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Do you have a link for the monthly tabular data, Larry?
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Theme of the season to come IMHO.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think a few of us have been toying with the notion over the course of the past several seasons.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I do, but like I said to him the other day, there could be some roll over...so I won't be shocked to see a nice stretch in early February.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, that state was very prevalent in my extra tropical Pacific analogs. Not anything extreme...I think I went .30 to .60 JM WPO.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Same page, Don.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just WPO....went +EPO.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, it began as snow and I remember transitioned to a driving, freezing rain in the teens by like 5am, when I had awakened for school...which didn't happen. Then by afternoon there was ponding everywhere and in the 50s.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    The amplitude and physics of that whole set up probably just overwhelmed all of the minute, in-situ dynamics.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I had like 4-5" of slop in early November and didn't look back until mid Jan.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    F5 has products like that.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll never forget that November 1995 bomb that gave Pittsburgh, PA like 2 feet.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    F5 has that. https://www.f5wx.com/
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    BTW, if this PD 1 set up this weekend played out a month later, I'd have already melted.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    100%...this is what I meant by great graphics. If you are actually forecasting, that is a major difference and time saver.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Makes it difficult to distinguish...its like dark green, puke green and lighter green.
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