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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Latest BOX statement goes 6-10" with locally up to 1'.
  2. I'm talking like an extra inch...like the difference between the 5-9" and 6-10" on my map.
  3. Yea, I have the sleet making it up to like Norwell ish.... Even if you sleet, should be pretty inconsequential.....however best banding maybe north of you.
  4. I think it ends up a bit more amped than some thing, but we'll see...been wrong plenty this season.
  5. 34.5/28 off of a high of 44.8 Surprised that its not a bit colder, but that pleases me for selfish reasons...
  6. One of my worst busts...probably only worse one was an event last March. I won't be neglecting to consider H85 inflow anymore. Only area I got right was the cape, but I had precip type issues as the limiting factor, so can't Judah myself a fraud victory, there. D- https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2019/03/saturday-32-verification.html
  7. I understand that, but when the best guidance available closes at 12 hours out.....$hit..there are obviously factors that I neglected to consider, such as inflow, etc. This is why seasons like this, when I have my a$$ handed to me, are instructional. I'll know better next time. 1" in Methuen...
  8. Man, what a rough season. As much as I'd like to forget it, need to learn from it.
  9. Thanks. Where do you look to determine that, 250mb winds?
  10. I mean...show me closed mid levels at hour 12, and you'll get me every time. Almost need to just blindly forecast as little snow as possible, at this point....only thing that works this season.
  11. I never bought the uber solutions, but took the bait on moderate...hook, like and sinker.
  12. Final Call for Saturday: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2019/03/guidance-continues-to-congeal-on.html
  13. Its not the main reason for the storm, but yesterday it was hinted that more of the main SW to the west would try to get involved. That is now gone and there is less margin for error with the vorticity from the single SW.
  14. Funny, if it were one of the 23 SWs that cut west, you bet your a$$ that vorticity would have fit together like a glove.
  15. Yesterday some the SW back west way trying to phase in. If we had blocking, there would time for this to slow down have more time to congeal.
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