40/70 Benchmark

UK has trended slightly away from significant sne snows....no shock.

2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

It's an outlier, 2 others but other vendors are also no where near your vendor.  700 to 800 wouldn't support that snow 

Must have been a glitch because they don't count ice as snow.

6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I'm selling the snow idea in SNE for now. You'd need to keep seeing the Scooter streak hold its ground or come even further south with no offset from the monster ULL in the plains. 

Definitely need to watch the ZR situation though.  

Sell big snow, but I think light amounts are possible...it's def. tenous, though...low confidence.

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah Canadian didn’t support 10” at Boston. 

I get that it didn't make sense, but that vendor does not count ice as snow

13 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Think that GGEM clown map from your vendor is counting mix ice as snow

I don't think so.

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

But we were told no snow in SNE until Jan 20...

Who said that?

Unsurprisingly, that huge GEM solution makes zero sense to me. Hell of a feat dropping 20" of snow here without redeveloping the mid level lows prior to reaching my latitude. That run is straight out of the  X Files....

Probably do first call tomorrow night.

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2019/12/winter-storm-potentially-poised-to.html

GEM is a crush job cne....jesus lol

8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Euro is actually a snowstorm n of pike and outside of 495 lol

I'm becoming sold on wintery impact...

Euro is actually a snowstorm n of pike and outside of 495 lol

I'm becoming sold on wintery impact...

Euro is an ice storm....this looks ominous.

Not sure how we avoid it with that +PP.

15 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said:

GFS pretty consistently past few run showing something around 1/5 - 1/6

Maybe time to more seriously consider that period..

Just now, NorEastermass128 said:

January 2018 bomb cyclone without a doubt!

Ding.

17 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Thanks lot of ice if 2M maps are correct NH border south

No ice indicated on clown map...strange. Maybe ton of sleet?

15 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I don't care what it is...I just want it reaching maturity near LI.

Miller As are more likely to mature further south and/or take an unfavorable track.

@Ginx snewx

UK Snow Map

Holy $hit

There is honestly no reason to melt. Every winter has a $hit stretch. We are crushing climo.

Enjoy the holidays and step back.

9 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Look , our climo is such that we often punt 2-4 week periods at least every other year . We punted last Wednesday and we don’t know when we receive the ball back. Maybe Jan 10

Well said.

2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Yep. C'mon cutters. 

This season has progressed exactly as planned, so far....except for the fact that the big December PNA didn't really work out.

9 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

 We all know Greenfield MA will be the only place in SNE having a white Christmas.   

Wilmington still has snow, so I'm sure home in Methuen does.

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Weeklies look like La Niña. Big dateline ridge.

This is why I think we will need the NAO; while there will of course be fluctuations, but I don't foresee a consistently favorable Pacific for the balance of the season. I know the caveats with weeklies, but those were my November thoughts, as well.

Early NAO seems to have succumbed to stout and resilient pv, as anticipated.

Just now, CoastalWx said:

I mean you know how it goes.Something could always sneak in under the radar. However I think I’ll wait till later in the first week of January to flush this out.

Yea, I think second week of January at the earliest to see the Pacific modfify a bit...and hopefully another NAO flex in latter January or Feb.

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Starting to look like a warmer solution. Hell maybe a cutter to start January too. 

I essentially checked out for a spell once it became apparent that the ongoing system would stay south...ugh