40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Me, three.
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Man...GFS, Euro and UK all in good agreement....1-3" south of pike, and 3-6" north of pike.
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This stretch is really getting to people.
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Presidents day 2-20 to 3-5 is my second favored window for a large event...the first was early to mid December (12-5 to 12-19), which was a hair too late.
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Yes...always looked that way to me. I wasn't a fan of the wholesale Miller B appeal with that residual troughing out west. This goes both ways....which is why I am not looking at next week with "snow goggles"...just assessing the layout and diagnosing what I perceive as being the most likely outcome. Next week's ostensibly quiet appeal has a better shot of delivering a major snow event for all of sne than this coming weekend ever did IMHO.
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There is some semblance of an Archambault signal, though not the most robust that I have ever seen. No one is promising anything, but anyone with a modicum of meteorological intellect can look beyond the single deterministic panels. I know you guys are messing...just sayn'...
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Climo will play soon...just not yet.
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Yep....watch that-
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SWFE? No...its like asking why Boston isn't favored on a se wind in February. Its not about generic climo....its about climo relative to the particular synoptic evolution at hand..which is a primary vortex passing well to the west of NYC, with secondary development occurring above their latitude. That is never favorable....in July or January-
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Seems like some inconspicuously bought the rogue Miller B-GFS run over the weekend because I don't get the sense of shock here...
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Climo, NYCweatherNOW.....NYCweatherNOW, climo....time for you both to become acquainted-
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Sounds like a job for, da-da-da-da, dadaaaaa....Super @ORH_wxman
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I'm quite lucid, chief...it was a joke. Not my fault that your sense of humor blows-
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Lies; of the bold-faced variety...
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I wouldn't pay much attention to deterministic particulars until tomorrow.
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Don't get it....nothing has changed. Typical SWFE followed by the favorable stretch.
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Buy...no guarantees, but I have been waiting for that potential to manifest itself into deterministic solutions.
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Makes sense to me.
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GFS must have sucked lol
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Agree....but that isn't worth it to me, anyway...saving grace is better times are ahead.
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If I lived on the coast of se MA, then I'd prefer last weekend's weather...but next Saturday looks fine for us.
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How did the one the year before last year work out? Short memories...
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There is a signal from Jan 20-24 that I referenced in yesterday's blog as a period to watch for a major storm, current guidance not withstanding. Wouldnt be suprised to see that reflected in future guidance.
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Be nice if we were repating 2018 sequence one month sooner...heh.
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Yea, maybe a coating.
