40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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A-Not a soul cares. B- Wrong thread.
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Finally, Canadian ensemble mean also looks a bit better, but needs to be a slightly further south, as well. All three ensemble means have trended towards a snowstorm.
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GEFS needs to be a hair further south...but getting there.
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EPS trended in the same manner that the GFS did towards a deeper H5 low.... 00z left, 12z right
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Heh......
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This could pull a March 5, 2001 gradient...
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Boston Light is 48.4...yikes. Good luck on the seaward side of the cf in a strong easterly fetch.
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Not a hail mary, but odds against it...something like 6-8", especially north, is doable....but like foot plus will be very tough.
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I just wrote about that.....all three ensemble packages are through NNE.
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Regarding next week's potential.... https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/01/all-eyes-on-next-sunday-monday.html
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Yes...which at mid season is an average pace.
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In latter January, that's fine by me...pin the cf over KLWM. No CJs.
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I knew the GFS was wrong...its the Euro solution that I'd be worried about, but OP is too far south imo.
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I don't think we can get one that intense at this latitude...that even looks worse than 1978.
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That is average.
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Confluence actually trended worse.
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LOL Not many posts...
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H5 is a bit further south than 00z on the EURO....bleh
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Yep..
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lol
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CMC hanging back confluence to the north more....
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NAO was supposed to still look like crap at this point. We should know how things will play out within the next month.
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Well, they were referencing a modeled pattern that is not going to verify....having a cross polar flow linked through an enormous ridge that engulfs the majority of the EPO and PNA domains renders the NAO much less relevant. I was surprised to see that guidance that gung-ho on the Pacific, and it makes more sense to me that the idea was abandoned.
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Cristina Abernathy has issued a warning...
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Obviously the GEM is very good. The problem with the GFS is that the H5 low is further to the north, bodily over sne and a bit weaker....the Euro tracks similarly to the GEM, but it looks to me like the low up east of Greenand is not nearly as pronounced, which doesn't allow the system to dig as much and intensify. That is correctable.....GEM is closer to reality than GFS...that said...doesn't necessarily mean a big snow storm for sne.
