40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Heavy back loaded...right ...which has been the law of avgs for over a decade.
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Fair enough.
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18z EPS trended a bit further north from 12z.
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In February, the way this season is going :LOL:
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What is causing that? A decay of the confluence? I haven't looked at much yet tonight....that seems correctable, at least to a degree...
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Its not much of a surprise to see most of January punted. If we are still punting in mid February, then I'd worry.
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I think higher elevations south of the pike and everyone north of the pike is still in it for some appreciable snow.
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I have never felt as though this ends well for most of sne, but its not over. We are still 5 days out and the ULL has trended south in the shorter term....the north trend is out in medium range. Well, it probably is over for you, but not all if us...
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Actually, I never issued a snow map if you had read the blog on Sunday, which should have told you something. My position was that some snow was possible across parts of the area, but it would track too far to the north for the most part. First Call is tomorrow...
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Prescient...
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I have favored that all along, but no....not over for anything....not here, anyway...
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Still like my thoughts from Sunday's blog...few to several inches of slop here, but not a huge event.
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How far north?
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Hopefully the GEFS and EPS are just going to meet. The GEM and UK scare me-
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Pretty sure my current locale had more in 3/5/01, too..
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I would honestly take March 2001 over Jan 2005.
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Yea, I don't think anyone here was suggesting that 2-3' is likely, but rather the potential was there if all broke right. Always have to have that on the table with a potent closed H5 low possibly passing beneath LI in January.
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Dic*...lol
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Well, it depends.....I mean, I wouldn't toss around 35" analogs for an 8" snowfall. I get the meteorological similarities, but there needs to be some remote sensible appeal....JMO.
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Probably you.
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Figured.
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I'll go with my map that says 6"..
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Still manages about 6" here...
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Hopefully EPS hold, though will probably tick n at least a bit....
