40/70 Benchmark
-
Posts
72,408 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
-
Keep the cover on the pool, Dave..
-
Yes, I like that the GFS has been trending towards this EURO, as it usually does. I use the GFS as an ensemble, essentially lol Would like to see the CMC and UK trend decidedly south.
-
UK drops 12-18" in the foothills west of PWM, near the NH border...
-
I would like to see the UK trend more decidedly south, though....we have seen the EURO blink a few times this season.
-
Yea, not arguing that...just a cursory clown-scan...
-
Snow output improved, though....goose egg on 00z to 4-8" in s NH now.
-
Low right over my driveway is never good news.
-
00z Euro didn't look that impressive....even the Berkshires were only like 10"...
-
I wish we had last weekend's air mass, this weekend.
-
GFS is 4.2" for Boston, and about 10" for me...Berks 2'+
-
Yes....low elevations to the E of the ORH hills did fine. Sure, it was 16-18" instead of 36-42", but...
-
"There's the demon"....
-
I would rather play the odds with the CF, than be in an interior valley with on an easterly fetch aloft with a marginal air mass.
-
This is why the exact position of the high will be so important....if I am west of the cf, and winds are NNE, there will be power issues from a great deal of paste. East of the CF, Winds are ENE and its rain. Maybe a sharp gradient....
-
I would not want to be in an interior valley....I'd rather take my chances near the ocean in ne MA.
-
Low elevation can make out fine, as long as you don't have elevations to your north or east....and have sufficient latitude.
-
I wasn't mentioning them as two, discrete issues...they are related...ie more moderate SSTs is more conducive to skating by with a tepid air mass.
-
I have been mentioning that as a potential ceiling for a couple of days....
-
Climo/SSTS are also more favorable than they were on 12/3, which negates some of the limitations with regard to the airmass.
-
I didn't see that on the GEFS mean...GEM ens mean, I did...nothing drastic, but north...
-
GEM ensemble trended a hair north over OH...not what we wanted to see. Confluence backed off a bit this run.
-
GEFS look identical to 18z.
-
I'd prefer a combination....
-
Nor am I going to quibble over intensity nuances on a deterministic solution. Same idea RE general storm evolution.
