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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I could see early December being $hitty.
  2. I don't buy the pig part for December. RNA, yes, but I think the pig gets pushed back.
  3. It could be. I don't think the Pacific will be as consistently brutal as some expect, though.
  4. I don't know about literal "record" warmth for the season, but the rest of that is essentially my winter forecast. I think I would favor February for actual record warmth.
  5. I would take 2016-2017 and run. I had that as a secondary analog.
  6. You don't know that. Hell, even in that 97-98 inferno I scored nearly 50".
  7. Peak snow climo is such for a reason...its near the coldest time of the year, and thus positive temp anomalies are not as prohibitive to snowfall. Throw in an active first and last third, and bang....climo seasonal snowfall. Retention is another story....well below normal.
  8. Not me....especially around the holidays. I will take around average snowfall, but if its going to be a terd...sure, cool down for the holidays, then burn it down. There are two conditions under which cold and dry is acceptable to me: 1) Snow pack in place....preserve it. 2) Holidays. No one wants Christmas in July.
  9. F*ck that. I'd rather relapse with a bottle of gin by myself and watch the snow fall
  10. This is how I expect December to look, which should prevent a total ratter. I def. see the path to a rat, though....not tough to envision given the background this season.
  11. I know....been 15 years for me! I was 25 Our outlooks seem pretty similar, though you are a bit colder.
  12. I think the holidays should be wintry, but watch the NAO relax on xmas eve lol
  13. That is true. March, as well. I do not always follow the composite 100%. I tried to doctor them more this season because its been worse in the past. I did also say that I can see December bleeding into January for a bit.
  14. I think Dec looks better. I could see that. I think second half of Dec into a portion of January is best. January will go to crap eventually, though.
  15. Looks like it has some NAO in December, though. We may have our own private winter early on.
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