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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Must be my lack of perspective...seems like a lot to me, but must require millions.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Has a large amount of followers....likely benefits from it financially IMO...any idiot on social media that attracts a following does.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Thanks, but point is he is probably making a good living off of doing that crap. Says something about contemporary society lol
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yet he is making a living off of pretending to be a met, so has guys like me beat
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Those Directweather guy is insufferable, too....every video is headlined by "get ready"..."prepare now" and every winter outlook is an Armageddon secnario for the east coast.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is who I thought of...did you see he called called out for presenting an Accuwx product as the "Mark Model"?
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    TBH, I won't mind it ending up all wet, as I know its only going be a nuisance and I don't need another hour stacked onto my already arduous commute. Not enough to take the day off-
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have been getting a healthy dose since March 2018...yea, the ratter seasons haven't been as poor here as the coast, but I also haven't sniffed average snowfall in 7 consecutive seasons and this year looks poised to make it 8.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    He doesn't do seasonal outlooks...just like two week increments.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, one thing I have learned over the past few years is to remain humble and always open to alternative thoughts...don't be afraid to admit error, incoporate feedback and alternate methodologies. A closed-mind and an expanding skill set are mutually exclusive.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Def become the MJO of SNE....need to get that man a cruiser.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think this is how very long range guidance like that should be used....view it as a tool to bolster confidence in a scenario that is supported by pages upon pages of data, as opposed to just blindly hoping its correct. Maybe all of the data can still ultimately be flushed down the toilet, but betters odds that way.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    2022...it was a great analog....but like @donsutherland1has been saying, there should be more variability this season. I am pretty confident of that.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Bingo-
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I can tell you that I am pretty confident I am going to beat the guidance this month by a comfortable margin, and the primary reason why is taking what Chris has been saying into consideration, as opposed to dismissing it out of frustration.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I still say it ends up + in the seasonal mean, but nothing crazy....the WPO is what can hopefully allow us to salvage something.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Isn't the goal to cherry pick the correct solutions, as that as what he has consistently done for the past 3 years or so....would you like him to pick some terds to level off the verification score?
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree with that, but doesn't necessairly mean an awful month.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    There are worse matches.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    2006 is another pissah December analog.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll be suprised if we don't flip back by early January, but then again, I have been suprised for the better part of the last 2 years.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Never a great sign to see 1998 and 1994 littering the CPC analog charts.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I just mean relative to expectation. I think most of us had a low bar for this month, aside from that week-long modeling keg party.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    That isn't to imply we will get crushed, thereafter....just an honest assessment of how December looked to me. I do think January will be decent.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is the December 1999 analog from my forecast composite rearing its head....def some shades of 2022, as well.
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