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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Sure did last night.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I want a total whiff it doesn't phase...all set parcing out the details between a dusting here and 5" in Attleboro.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    That will happen bc its my least desired outcome.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Kev will wake up in a couple of hours and express confidence in a nice, light to moderate 1-3" or 3-6" before setting off on his jog.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    That was last year....this is .79-'80.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree. GEPS and EPS both modestly worse.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Maybe EURO AI wins the day....def need another day or two to sort this out, but I am def. a bit more uneasy after entire 00z suite.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Dead nuts on 12z @ 18z....great win for that model if it's right.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    EURO had a massive bust in this range just last year with that storm that went way supressed to the south in February. Disheartening, but not done yet.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks worse......yea. Oh well...give it until tomorrow @ 12z. Still want to see the EPS.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    My mean snowfall plummeted from 3.5" to 3.3" (literally)....storm cancel.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    There is more tug toward the NW of the mean relative to 18z, too....so the mean is probably skewed by a few that jumped ship over the Andrea Gale.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I mean, if some are slitting their wrists over this type of variance on a day 5+ ensemble mean, most of this forum needs to hop on my caseload...shit. I accept BCBS, HP, and Tufts.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I honestly think it will be more amped.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I bet the EURO comes in amped-
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Man, the difference at H5 between earlier GEFS and 00z is so minute.....what a razor's edge sensitive set up.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    #13 & 17.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    That isn't overly alarming...just confirms we have reached the apex of the phased trend, which I think we all had expected.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Even that probably plants some mid level goodies from BDL to ORH I think this is the eastern-disjointed goalpoast....18z GFS is phased-western goalpost. JMHO.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    18z OP GFS was clearly a western goalpost....most knew it at the time.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    EURO has also been doing this BTW....
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Folks need to get a grip...perfectly normal for the OP to oscillate within its own ensemble envelope. If the 00z GEFS look much worse than 12z, then I'd be concerned.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wouldn't call that a cave..matches its own ensemble mean better.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    GEFS will probably look like 12z.
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