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  2. MJO812
    September is also early. Check back in November.
  3. dendrite
    Hope the HR^3 is right
  4. Rainforrest
    Picked up 3.37” last night.
  5. bluewave
    Yeah, there weren’t any cold winters in the East with super El Niños relative to the climatology at the time.
  6. snowman19
    He’s from Philly, so yes. I would love for him to let us know which super El Niño winters (Dec-Mar) since 1970 were cold in the PHL-NYC-BOS corridor. Strong doesn’t count. I’ll wait…. @PhiEaglesfan712
  7. A-L-E-K
  8. snowfan
    Its gross outside.
  9. Birds~69
    79F/DP 71F at 9:40am Another sign Fall is on the way is someone had lawn chairs down by the curb for trash pick up. Probably old/broke and they will pick up new ones on clearance in a few weeks for next year. Smart move. Anyhow, we need some refreshing air (DP 50s)...
  10. Kmlwx
    Everything "feels" juiced today. At least for heavy rain. Was driving from Odenton back to my folk's house in Colesville and it started lightly raining and I wasn't even under any returns on the LWX radar.
  11. GaWx
    I assume you’re referring specifically to the NE US as the first 3 winters weren’t warm in the SE. They were pretty close to normal there.
  12. wxdude64
    Yep, a completely different world up there. Glad you had a great trip, as someone else said, just gotta keep a watch out for the 'sliders' on the ground and whatnot.
  13. Met1985
    I just read where Mt. Airy East just got hammered yesterday. Radar estimates of over 10 inches.
  14. snowman19
    Which super El Niños were cold winters (Dec-Mar)? 72-73: warm, 82-83: warm, 97-98: warm, 15-16: warm *PHL-NYC-BOS corridor. Strong doesn’t count*
  15. wxdude64
    About a tenth overnight, about that much since the 7 am report. MUGGY, MUGGY, MUGGY! 71.2/70.0 currently with light rain at 9:30 am.
  16. SnowenOutThere
    The 12z sounding from IAD seems pretty juiced. Nearly saturated atmosphere all the way up. I think the most interesting thing is how convective temp is only 81 degrees.
  17. PhiEaglesfan712
    Yeah, I will always point out that the coldest winter CONUS in the 21st century was during a strong la nina. Strong/super el ninos generally mean warmth, but not always. It's too early to tell whether this upcoming winter is going to be warm, but if the models are still showing a cold signal in September, then people need to accept that it will probably be colder (and possibly snowier) winter.
  18. bluewave
  19. Mount Joy Snowman
    Low of only 73 to go along with .01” of rain.
  20. bluewave
  21. dailylurker
    True. It basically never has anything prior to an event. It certainly feels juicy out here.
  22. 87storms
    Light rain at the little Bennett trailhead (biked a different loop this time). Perfectly timed…started to rain right at the last stretch. Humidity is thick…the atmosphere no longer wants this area to be in a drought.
  23. GaWx
    Amazingly, the very next CFSv2 run of AAM (0Z on 8/2/26) is even more extreme overall than the posted prior run making it the most extreme I’ve ever seen although this one never quite gets all 4 at 4+ simultaneously (so the first week and last few days are only parts not more extreme): this one already has two at 4+ at day 20! @snowman19
  24. yoda
    Isn't it retiring soon for the RRFS?
  25. wncsnow
    Picked up 1.02 overnight
  26. CoastalWx
    Congrats on a soaker.
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