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Sadly I think this is a death march. Just gonna enjoy the porn while I can

NC weenies watching us walk into the same wilderness they did a month ago

have you tried said drugs .

Nah this year will be remembered here as ‘26 Year of the Blue Balls” Too many missed opportunities including two potential blizzards

Virtually no support for the ultra-tucked solution we saw on the 12z GFS.

rotflmao That's hilarious, albeit not far from the truth.

not true. Meteoroglist Mark McGarbage is buying it

DGEX porn was the best

True that. I’m here for the ride regardless of what happens haha.

Remember the exciting days leading up to a big storm and the NAM would drop like 45" on us? That's when you knew it was real

I appreciate your positivity. I had it for the last one that went OTS, this one I don't so maybe that's a good thing?

From our good friend DT: NEXT TIME SOME IDIOT ARGUES THE GFS HANDLES EAST COAST SNOWSTORMS WELL... TIME TO CANCEL THE GFS..... 33 INCHES OF SNOW DC ? Yeah its broken every Single run of the operational GFS for the past 3 days has showed a massive historic record shattering blizzard for some portion of the Middle Atlantic... now even the GFS AI is saying "WTF op-GFS !? " The 6z and 12z GFS ensembles are waaaaaay east The problem is that the operational GFS goes Bonkers with the 500mb LOW. It is over developing the 500 LOW amplification and it grabs the surface LOW and pulls a NW to just east of Wallops Island on the lower Virginia Eastern shore. Then every run of op- GFS stalls the LOW for 24 hours producing this incredibly heavy snow area from a monster rapidly intensifying Coastal nor'easter. This is nonsense. There is a better chance of monkeys flying out of my ass on Sunday night or Monday morning then this solution as proposed by the operational GFS of a massive historic BLIZZARD of record shattering proportions in the Mid-Atlantic actually concurring As I stated in the video there is an upstream kicker and all the other models see it except for the operational GFS. When the GFS AI and GFS ensembles don't even support this kind of extreme solution then you know the operational GFS is just busted. I figure it's about 12 hours before somebody starts blaming immigrants for fucking with the model.

Ships sink at 00z too

The problem is though the GFS has been this way for several years now. Including when President Biden was in office. So maybe it still has some residuals, just can't seem to find its way, and wants to make things out to be better than they really are. It's fine though bc AI models are the "auto pen". ;-)

Steve D and Bobby Martrich says to watch for where the inverted trough sets up

I almost forgot about this event being focused on Monday

If it still shows it at 18z (not holding my breath), that would be absolutely hilarious though.

Not during the first week of March

Was it Canaan Valley you’re thinking of? Seems we had another dusty rainfall yesterday.

To be fair this is our best threat since we tracked two cloudy days the other week.

what about the SPIRE

I just laughed out loud. Omg, we all are going down with the ship at 18z

we're waiting to go down with the 18z GFS

122 members currently in the thread. That's not so bad considering around 1,500 died on the Titanic.

KMA stays very progressive, doesn't even give us much in the form of IVT snow. The PANGU-IFS model is a bit better, but not great. And 12z ARPEGE is about as bad as KMA.