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Not seeing a lot in the way of cold in the next few weeks, more seasonal to slightly BN/AN
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well... maybe 12 hours before all the others
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
mahantango#1 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Stick a fork in this one: -
Not really sure what the 0z Euro and Oz UK were cooking for Sun/Mon. Lol
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New extended forecast: After the 2 non events later this week and weekend. It will get cold. People will be saying "end of January could be great" but as the days tick on, no threats will materialize. The cold won't last. We will torch some days. Last week in January we will have essentially shut out this month as per usual in the MA. Minus a dusting or two. But people will be saying, "Valentines day, yep, that is the period to watch". Remember this post.
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Maybe that restart thing will work...... this time?
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Well you got your wish with the troll thread. Congrats.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pawatch replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
23 degrees this morning. Gee if I want snow maybe I should move down to the Carolinas. -
They keep saying the models are so much better now than they were 30 years ago. Are you sure?
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Lol... Right, until the next big one shows up But in all seriousness... I get your frustration. Just can't understand the model frenzy. Oh well
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06z GFS yields nothing either. The entire run doesn’t show much promise. at this point it would be nice to just see some flakes in the area later this week
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This hobby blows. At least stress free summer weather will be here before you know it. Can’t wait.
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January doldrums……
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6z GEFS comes back to life for Sunday/Monday. Still not much there from the GFS
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Go back to sleep. You have 180 hours to rest. Lol By the way, Gefs and Geps are similar.
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It ain’t much, but euro had something for the cape storm? Like dusting -1”?
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That was fun while it lasted.
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I think it bounces around as much as anything in mid and long range, but it’s pretty deadly inside D5
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Also current temp and low of 14 degrees.
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EPS really high on 2nd half of the forecast period. Top map is snowfall at 180hrs and bottom map 360hrs.
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
A-L-E-K replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
This is your moment -
Models aren't digging the vort like yesterday so this isn't a long duration event anymore. Totals are cut way back. The one good thing I see is that we may see severe small flow events the next 10 days. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
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why I dont trust models not even 1-2 days out they change way to much for the same model from 1 run to the next
