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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yes, and I'm not being facetious....quite literally. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
-AO/+PNA winter en route.....confirms what I already knew. -
The Franklin Institute in Philly is the 90° day leader across the region this year. Data for January 1, 2026 through September 1, 2026 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. PA PHILADELPHIA FRANKLIN INSTITUTE COOP 43 MD STEVENSVILLE 2SW COOP 41 DE DOVER COOP 41 PA PHILADELPHIA INTL AP WBAN 40 Data for January 1, 2026 through September 1, 2026 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. NJ HARRISON COOP 35 NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 29 NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT COOP 28 NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 26
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Over 20” in places now, flash flood emergency issued
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Storm Chaser Brett Musser is in White Horse, Lancaster County, Pennsylvania. · Follow · Could there been a possible tornado here in Lancaster County this evening? Here is some of the damage from the White Horse area!! Part of a barn roof gone, a one room school house lost its whole roof, trees down on wires, and debris scattered across farm feilds!! All pics taken within a mile of each other. -
Some real bad flash flooding going on in that training band on the south side of Edouard. Radar estimates of up to 8" of rain in just the past 3 hours. Nearly 12-16" of rain total
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90/56 yesterday, oppressive dews return today and look to stick around for awhile. 0.04” rain overnight. Drought begets drought
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
qg_omega replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Record warmth summer and winter -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The summer 500 mb pattern was as opposite as you can get from a developing super El Niño in the Northern Hemisphere. The 500mb ridges dominated where the troughs were supposed to be. But the Southern Hemisphere response during their winter may give us some clues what to expect here. Notice how the 500mb ridges were stronger than the expected troughs. It was obvious near New Zealand and South America. This would translate into a weaker Aleutian Low and weaker low pressure near the Southeast U.S and or Western Atlantic than is usual for such a strong El Niño. Could mean a warmer more dominant ridge pattern over North America than is typically the case for a super El Niño event. Should this occur during our winter, then it would follow the general pattern regardless of ENSO of the 500mb ridges being more impressive than the troughs since the 2015-2016 super El Niño. https://www.pyreweather.org/map/?variable=height&level=500®ion=World&mode=anomaly&months=202606%2C202607%2C202608&fill_mode=shaded&climo_source=r2-monthly -
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I think he could still be serviceable, but his days of every down work are probably vanquished. In the right scheme, he could certainly provide value. Considering Flores propensity to blitz, that should be favorable.
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0z euro selling a p sick ridge roller pattern locally, want 2 believe
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August 2026 finished with a preliminary monthly mean temperature of 16.957C. That would shatter the August mark of 16.823C from 2024. It would also edge past July 2023's 16.953C to become the warmest month on record in the ERA-5 dataset.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Where was the heat advisory, or warning yesterday when we needed it? - Today
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Ravens fans, does Kyle Van Noy have anything left in the tank as a backup OLB?
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I've been tracking since 2023. Over 1C daily is very warm but it has happened before mainly in the 23/24 nino. 1.04C in Nov 2023 is the highest monthly value. August was 0.942 the 5'th highest monthly value , the higher values were the last 4 months of 2023. Note that changes to the gfs model may change the metric.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 68 with .19” of rain. Amtrak is down this morning due to a fallen tree on the tracks near Philly. Damn. -
2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
dailylurker replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I see our storms for later on over Lake Erie this morning. Lake Ontario also has a nice batch.- 2,288 replies
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Thunder just woke us up. I checked radar and it’s an isolated storm just around here. Nothing else within hundreds of miles. Rain magnet still working well I see.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 430 AM EDT Wed Sep 2 2026 PAZ004>006-010>012-037-041-042-045-046-051-053-030830- Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Tioga- Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming- Montour-Columbia- 430 AM EDT Wed Sep 2 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Multiple rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms with strong winds, large hail, and heavy rainfall are possible today and tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather. $$ Colbert Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 430 AM EDT Wed Sep 2 2026 PAZ017>019-024-025-033-034-049-050-052-058-030830- Clearfield-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Somerset- Bedford-Union-Snyder-Northumberland-Schuylkill- 430 AM EDT Wed Sep 2 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Multiple rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms with strong winds, large hail, and heavy rainfall are possible today and tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Strong to severe thunderstorms with strong winds and heavy rainfall are possible again on Thursday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather. $$ Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 430 AM EDT Wed Sep 2 2026 PAZ026>028-035-036-056-057-059-063>066-030830- Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Fulton-Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon- Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- 430 AM EDT Wed Sep 2 2026 ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Multiple rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms with strong winds, large hail, and heavy rainfall are possible today and tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more information about the following hazards. Heat Advisory. Strong to severe thunderstorms with strong winds and heavy rainfall are possible again on Thursday. Heat index values will range from the upper 90s to the low 100s Thursday afternoon. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather. $$ -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
93 was the high yesterday .24 rain.had a dp of 84 yesterday afternoon with a heat index of 116 -
An annular specimen, a developing buzzsaw and a sprawling tropical storm scramble spread across the pacific
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pawatch replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
92 for the high yesterday. I received .38” of rain yesterday while Montourville airport where they record Williamsport readings received 1.59” , they got hit pretty hard. Lots of lightning last night! 68 degrees this morning -
You fished your wish, 92-93 and 93-94 seasons are up
