All Activity

i'd use HRRR for really short term.. Nam sucks overall except sniffing out the warm nose.

i'm too far north for the huggers, which hit monmouth and ocean then scoot to long island, and too far south for the northern storms. it has been this way my whole life.

12z GFS has begun......take us home

So far every 12z run has been consistent with where the mix line reaches. As of right now anyone S of the TZ bridge is prob gonna taint at some point. North of there it’s gonna be fun to watch. Wouldn’t surprise me if the favored spots in the interior approach 24”

Looking at the ICON and the RGEM it looks like the NAM was puffing some pre rolls at 12z.

RGEM has been consistent on the Detroit area getting at least 6”. It does suck to see the 12z NAM basically cut totals in half compared to yesterday’s 12z run. Hoping the bleeding at least stops for now.

First Call - MMU: 7-11; sleet - CPK: 6-10; sleet - SPARTA: 12-16; all snow - White Plains: 10 - 14; mostly if not all snow

State of emergency for NY Remote learning possible for Monday

Pink is winter storm warnings. Blue I beleive is for the frigid temps

Mt. Holly & Wakefield forecast for central and lower Delmarva

They did a lot of clearing after Helene up on this mountain but there's still too many trees near lines for me to feel comfortable at all. I am usually the last one to get stressed or paranoid about things but that forecast has me both.

Out at DCL right now, WSW for 12-18" just came out. 45mph winds too.

Wow. Just woke up to the good ol’ NAM.

ICON should slay

Eastern Shore is covered by Mt. Holly and they haven't issued warnings yet

I know that this may be me wishing it... But there have been many many storms in the past where the modeling said a change over was going to occur, but never did. Would be nice if this was also one of those times. Models are walking that very narrow line where the change over occurs

There is a weird dry slot. Thats why the totals were lower. All the models trended better so far.

I noticed that too. Sleet/mix line stalls and then creeps south, presumably with the coastal transfer. Too late for anything meaningful for the DC metro but close. Also, like the NAM, would only take a small south shift in the stall point to cause a meaningful change for the metros. But a solid run regardless.

Classic. Send him down our way for a blessing.

It also largely depends on the rate of precipitation. If it is pouring rain, it’s not going to freeze. However, if it’s light rain/sprinkles, it will freeze pretty quickly after contact.

UMBC, UB have announced they are closed Monday. Ok Coppin, you're up.

Is pink the warning? Because that’s covering everywhere but the eastern shore.

Also not to rag a on a local met - but Doug K is not known for being the spitting image of 100% reliable

Pretty solid depiction

If the overall storm evolution is shifting in a better direction that’s all I really need at this point.