Jump to content

All Activity

This stream auto-updates

  1. Past hour
  2. chubbs
    When you focus on periods just before and just after station changes, the changes are have very strong statistical significance. Below is an example for Coatesville, using the monthly difference between Coatesville and West Chester. On average, Coatesville was 2.5F cooler relative to West Chester in 1949-50 vs 1944-45, before the 1946 move. The stats show that the move-related change was highly significant statistically.
  3. Damage In Tolland
    How can it go back below normal if it was never there in the first place ?
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    None of us are perfect...best any forecaster can do is try to keep an open mind, be willing to admit error and look to improve. My outlooks got a lot better the moment I stopped perceiving alternative view points as a threat and tried incorporating them....truth is that every individual has something to offer.
  5. CoastalWx
    64 here for low. None of the 50s nonsense.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    My mistake...I guess I spoke out of turn and should have double-checked. Thanks. I'm going to stick with that source, though in an effort to be homogeneous.
  7. BlizzardNole
    Got 0.25, now 2.5 for the month. A great start after months in a row of less than 1" total in spring to early summer. Hope the next few months are well above normal rainfall.
  8. WxUSAF
    Just over 0.2” so far
  9. metagraphica started following Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
  10. metagraphica
  11. metagraphica
    Meanwhile on this side of the planet...
  12. dendrite
    56.6° Gonna need that about 10F higher
  13. wncsnow
    We dodged storms like a ninja yesterday too but picked up .13 for a total of .50 since midnight.
  14. Mike Cycle
    Here is a graphic I hope illustrates that the goal of homogenization is not to create a new absolute temperature series for a given location, but to extract change over time information. With Coatesville 1 SW, because it moved to progressively cooler locations (break points finds these shifts), it is necessary to correct for those moves. Convention is to apply the corrections from most recent raw data backwards, but it is just as valid to apply them from oldest forward. Convention results in a repaired series that was always in its final location, and applying corrections from oldest forward results in a station that never left its first location.
  15. LakePaste25
    That was me who was dismissing the MEI awhile ago and you still don’t see me posting about it. Just not a fan of it. It’s equally weighting all variables, only uses one dataset (JRA-55), and like ensonerd mentioned it’s limited to the first EOF. I felt like it made the 2023-24 event weaker than it was even compared to the RONI, thanks to the rare -PMM that went with it.
  16. snowfan
    Second the pouring ob.
  17. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
    Cialis 20mg price Tadaliko - Tadaliko
  18. EastCoast NPZ
    Not a drop
  19. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
    order viagra Sildoliko - sildenafil online
  20. olafminesaw
  21. Today
  22. mappy
    That’s interesting as BGE is out every other year to trim trees along York Road in my area.
  23. stormy
    Only .08 rain last night. DROUGHT is getting worse. Significant rain ran north, east of BR again. GRAF model says maybe another .10 later today.
  24. BlizzardNole
    Largely missed this one but that's OK I got plenty from the last one. Here comes hot and humid again! At least we have chances of thunderstorms with it.
  25. pawatch
    59 degrees this morning.
  26. so_whats_happening
    Never claimed to be the best met or honestly that good of a forecaster at all. Of course I like snow, not so much cold though hence why I don't live in Canada or Alaska or hell even New England or the upper Midwest. I love that I have been able to experience a near snowless winter and the most snow this area has ever seen in a matter of 12 years, I find it simply fascinating. A +10 December and a -10 February as well. Yep definitely had many reservations about this event. Stay or leave up to you. Make sure to put that little poop emoji to let me know you care!
  27. WestMichigan
    Looks like a winter snowstorm map where I am rooting for a 50 mile shift north to get into the good stuff. Here's hoping that at least part of the sub gets to stave off this dryness that is expanding in the region.
  28. Mount Joy Snowman
    71 when I left the house with a nice little cell starting to move through. Let’s see if we can bag some winners today.
  1. Load more activity
×
×
  • Create New...