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I don't recall 23-24 expected to be that warm. Seasonal models, especially the Euro, constantly had a trough over the Mid Atlantic in the mean, below average heights. -QBO was expected to dip the AO negative. We did end up having 4 Strat warmings that Winter, but +NAO won out. The -PDO/east-based Nino composite worked out perfectly, a warmer version of 72-73, but many people realized that only after the fact. It led to a lot of PDO reliance in 24-25 and 25-26, which then busted people too warm lol.

Maybe the night time temps. Tip always mentions how it seems we end up with warmer than normal night time lows, but that our day time high temps are meh, while the rest of the world chars.

It may be a degree or two warm, but BDL/BAF were probably in a dip while CEF was in a warmer spike.

Preliminary data suggested MSP was 89’d today so the elusive first 90 waits another day. Average first 90 here is fast approaching on May 30th.

Looking very dry as May turns to June.

72/56 perfect evening weather.

Double rainbow Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Dews starting to drop into the 50s. .

I've picked up a little over 3 inches since the rain began last Wednesday night. We had 3 brief tropical downpours today.

Did not expect another shower

The string of great sunsets continues!

Is the humidity going away? Cause it’s nasty

Same here once again: This evening has been the ultimate tease with my having to travel ~8 miles west, where I drove into heavy rain from a band of thunderstorms. A little NW of there, there actually was a FF warning! Pt. Wentworth, Pooler, and Bloomingdale, all in NW Chatham county, got very heavy rain with 3-4” in some cases (all in <2 hours)! Even KSAV finally got some rain. I was hopeful that the band would soon push to my house. But as I drove back home, I noticed that the rain stopped, the roads were dry, and the sky no longer was threatening. Then when I got home, I saw that no rain had fallen. And now it looks like the atmosphere has stabilized with radar looking unimpressive. So, unless things change later, this may end up still another dry day at my place. But even if so, I remain hopeful for tomorrow and especially the weekend.

People who have never done it have no idea how weather dependent a task. Things have to break just so. Good luck!

Looks like will end the day with .58”. Had some sun and blue skies break out this afternoon. But it all clouded up again looking like rain. Everything is staying to the West though.

Well, blow me down. An actual storm that didnt go around me. Combined with the scraps we got this morning, I'm at .63" today. 2.83" over the last 8 days.

5.85" since Thursday. Some nasty flooding just south in the Parsons - Davis WV corridor. @jonjon hope you guys are doing OK...never want to see that. On the upside, this was overall sorely needed especially since we're back to the dust bowl beginning tomorrow but ohhhhh what a beautiful upcoming weekend it's going to be

Where is this “stein” (I personally hate the term) and “80’s all week” I keep hearing about here?! I have hay to cut and bring in, yet every thing I see has chances of showers and temps in the 70’s. Hay needs dry and heat. Can’t afford today’s fuel prices as it is let alone reworking the field to dry it out after a shower or two!!

It really is quite amazing how the rain keeps missing this area

It will then turn somewhat cooler for tomorrow through the weekend. The first week of June could also see temperatures average somewhat below normal to near noraml. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.0°C for the week centered around May 20. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.72°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.83°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -6.34 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.625 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 73% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 63.6° (0.4° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.1° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

Getting some rain this evening again. 7 days in a row of Getting measurable rainfall.

I mean it’s cool I guess but does it really have to happen on a Saturday?

Already dipped toes in it. I mean it’s the same temperature as it was at 3am last night. Felt hot sleeping, but feels glorious outside this afternoon, ha.

Enjoy it while you can. Won't be long before you're in the summer hellscape.