Jump to content

All Activity

This stream auto-updates

  1. Past hour
  2. MJO812
    This wouldnt hurt
  3. MJO812
  4. MJO812
    He predicted the weakening of the PV back in the summer. Great call.
  5. stadiumwave
  6. jaxjagman
    Ensembles are starting to lose the MJO signal and more seperation the next few days,probably will be chaos with the signal once again with the strong NINO
  7. CoastalWx
    I’m not exactly sure we see much if any effects from the Strat split. In fact if the PNA tries to get slightly negative like some guidance shows by mid Novie, the east could get quite mild. Any lag would be perhaps later November to start, but all the guidance into December continues to show a classic strong Nino look overwhelming any Strat coupling. We shall see, but I’m not hopeful on anything more than a cool spell here or there.
  8. leo2000
    Some were in a rush for it to come down on November 20th don't think that will happen with the SSW but their is also a recurring typhoon which will push some colder air out east too. Looking at the positive side of this winter is the extensive siberian snow cover which strongly correlates with a weaker PV.
  9. VivaManchVegas
    The oaks definitely have more color this year. We are going on our 4th week of autumn colors before we get to the grey doldrums. I think the lack of windy nor easters has helped.
  10. MJO812
    Agree
  11. H2O
    My eyes have been itchy and crusty in the mornings and it’s def due to lack of rain and allergies
  12. Maestrobjwa
    Oy this game, lol Bills have won 11 conscuctive times coming out of a bye week...and consequently Josh Allen has never lost coming off a bye. Both teams have defensive issues...but obviously the 5-1 team is performing better. Like I said...we cooked and this season is probably a transitional/rebuilding season--we shouldn't expect too much as the new staff figures things out. EDC's seat might be warm, lol
  13. GaWx
    Per @Stormchaserchuck1the lag this early is typically 30-45 days. That would imply that any colder air coming down related to this SSW if it’s going to occur would likely not occur til early to mid Dec. However, there could always be colder periods not related to this SSW coming down earlier, of course.
  14. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
    buy antibiotics over the counter [url=http://antibiofastdirect.com/#]AntiBio Fast Direct[/url] п»їbuy antibiotics
  15. MJO812
    Its great to see the NAO, AO and PNA become favorable along with a PV split . There is a lag so maybe we can see colder air come down towards mid to late November.
  16. MJO812
    Its great to see the NAO, AO and PNA become favorable along with a PV split . There is a lag so maybe we can see colder air come down towards mid to late November.
  17. GaWx
    Latest OISST anomalies per cyclonicwx: RONI: hardly any net change since Oct 1 (ONI graph similar): reduce this a few tenths to estimate NOAA’s weeklies. This shows no signs of heading to +3.5 as of this time, especially if one considers that NOAA’s weeklies have been coming in a few tenths cooler Nino 1+2 non-relative: only a very slight net rise since Oct 1 Nino 3 non-relative: ~0.35C rise since Oct 1 Nino 4 non-relative very little net change since Oct 1 because recent rise followed a fall
  18. jaxjagman
  19. GCWarrior
    So nice lately I’m barely thinking about skiing(though I really am!) Ive been out on the bike every other day for a couple weeks now. Trails are all running really nice around here. Done a few rides at the newtrail network out in Hancock, MA, Shaker Ridge. Super fun manmade flow with a sweet ripping single track as well. .
  20. Today
  21. powderfreak
    72-73 was decent it looks like… rest leaves something to be desired again.
  22. Elim72
  23. WxWatcher007
    Ugly, ugly stuff, @powderfreak. We did better than most but my God. Not the stake, but 23-24 was modestly better. Well, not really. Also, not sure what they were doing with the ranges on this graphic.
  24. bluewave
    Probably one of the warmest first weeks of November on record from the Upper Midwest into the Northeast. This makes sense given how extreme this El Niño event has become. Many areas will have 10+ departures for the November 1st through 7th. I just posted in the main El Niño thread how these early SSWs in the past have been associated with the November pattern persisting through DJF. We saw this with the early SSW last November 2025 followed by the general 500 mb pattern repeating and amplifying through DJF. So it will be interesting to see if we are getting an early winter preview this month.
  25. Cobalt
    2 examples that stand out. The AI model is creating a new light purple color code out of nowhere Also its text does not understand how the color contours correspond to snowfall lol So yeah, affirms my suspicion that he just fed the canSIPS output into an AI model that is good enough to make maps (naturally weather maps probably show up a lot in the training data so it has some stuff to work with), but he asked it to generate data that does not exist and can't be derived from just the precip and temp maps alone.
  26. Elim72
    BWI 23" DCA 18" IAD 20.5" RIC 6.5" SBY 3"
  27. GaWx
    Speaking of JB, these are his analogs for NDJFM per yesterday’s free to all “Saturday Summary”:
  1. Load more activity
×
×
  • Create New...