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IF this happens, we're in mid moon phase to limit coastal flooding. I would like to see what the max wind potential is of a bombing storm this rapidly.

Lost power for about half an hr. Tree over a line. Have oil lamps (old Aladdin style passed down from my gma), and a gas stove for heat if need be.

Im with you, give me 2nd week of november thru the second week of February any year. That's part of the reason I'm happy with this season, strong early start and good storms. I had fun with all the events, Winter lived a good life, now I'm mentally worn down and welcome the natural change of seasons. Anyways, another hint Spring is around the corner, the birds. Nothing says deep winter like hearing birds chirping while you shovel snow lol I agree after next week we warm significantly, doesn't mean we can't sneak something in, or maybe we cool mid March but with each passing day for it to be worth my time a snow event needs to increasingly up the ante.

For sure but still part of the same forum.

True. He is very happy and positive right now. Someone must have played with his accordion this weekend.

I disagree, You don't write off day 6 threats, But i already stated we need to see where these next 2 end up, Sure we can see a couple friday night saturday, But i want to see that one further north then modeled right now.

As far as LR models go, the typical pattern MO this year is the LR models show the MECS storm potential at 7-10 days.---lose the MECS potential at 4-6 days and then bring the potential MECS back in a diminshed capacity

Also, where the hell are you seeing a -PNA?

Looks like George Washington brought reinforcements!

Agreed.

we are all optimists not pessimists. Go post on his page and rave to your hearts content about how great this guy is. His forecasting is like walking with two left feet and trying tie his shoe laces with no thumbs. Hopeless

Negative PNA AND NEUTRAL NAO means wiff for the a big nor’easter. We were already threading the needle with this setup, we don’t do well with that and I’m pretty sure I can count on one hand the last 20 years when we have. The current pattern doesn’t support the last 2 days of nonsense the day to day runs have been showing. But most in here are gullible and refuse to except it’s not happening.

I don't think we were ever in the game with this one anyway. Mattapoisett might have a fun time with it though. I think we'll score a couple Friday night though.

Yea, but that’s why the confusion matrix exists. In machine learning, having a 90% accuracy is fruitless if you’re missing all the true positives (leading to 0% precision and 0% recall). Likewise, if you say it’s gonna snow all the time, you’ll catch all the true positives (snowstorms), but even though your recall will be 100%, your accuracy and precision will be 10%. F1 score is a key metric in weather forecast scoring, I would imagine.

I agree. What’s it range?

Agree...

Kinda like how u started a thread then had it locked 4 days out. Let it play out lol .

33.6 and dropping whore frost tonight. I think unless that's differentfrom freezing fog hmm now idr

That final panel is like 2/1989 exactly. I always say if you see that you better have a very strong -NAO. 12/26/10 was close to that too but not same orientation. The ridge was taller

You couldn't resist could you.

Suite ? It’s the op and it’s not being ignored . It’s just not being factored higher than anything else 6-7 days out

This sub is more bipolar than Kahn Souphanousinphone

When he gets shit once again, he'll have another meltdown that we're somehow suppose to care about. Wash, rinse, repeat.

Go clean your musket and let folks have fun.