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  2. Just visualize the massive snow drifts that will be back in 4-5 months. That should help a bit.
  3. Looking at model SLP forecasts, I see a near certainty that the current -SOI streak will make it to 67+ days. That would then make it the 3rd longest -SOI streak on record (back to 1991). Will it make it past 72 days? That’s too far out to predict with confidence right now. But that appears to have a decent chance as of now.
  4. Thought I might see my first storm in over 2 weeks, but it missed mby. Might have to wait a bit, based on the forecast.
  5. Came home today after spending 2.5 weeks in Vegas and that humidity slapped. Reminded me of when I was traveling to/from Denver for work years ago.
  6. Yeah, I get it. I keep the windows closed during the day, open at night. It's not terrible. If I can't stand this, this year, then that will happen. At some point tough isn't enough. Will use wet towels with a fan blowing, if I really need too. After this tho, 70 will be frosty LOL
  7. I just researched it. CMCC is an Italian climate model. I can’t find verification data, but +5.3C monthly peak isn’t going to happen on a RONI basis and almost certainly not even per ONI. If there had been other models near that, I might have given it a little more consideration. But with it 1.4C warmer than the 2nd warmest on that list and with that 2nd warmest, itself, already forecasting >1C warmer than the current record warmest, I find it hard to consider it even remotely possible.
  8. Big storm passed to our north but managed to get .09" out of it.
  9. Got a flush hit with the ffx cell. Ominous vibes as the first half of the storm had ever increasing rainfall rates that climbed past 1, then 2, then 3 inch/hour as gusts of wind came through. Hit the peak of 3.4 inch/hour as the wind died out, some of the heaviest rates I’ve ever seen. Made even my family come out to look. Still pouring but estimating I’ll finish around a bit above an inch (maybe more if the secondary cell over Dulles hits too). If you look at a longer radar loop (codnexrad is my favorite site for that) you can see how the outflow boundary from MD interacted with the leftover boundary in western fairfax to pop the storms right along it. Neat stuff.
  10. Tonight’s a really pleasant night (here/Columbia) just sitting on a dry deck with a gentle breeze and 78° — who can ask for more? After lucking out with 3-1/4 inches of rain between July 4-9, the last two days have been frustrating watching radar; a trace at best for the last two days as of now. Also while sitting outside I just noticed a lower-level group of broken clouds moving east to west. Easterly breeze has picked up too.
  11. There's time for the PDO to cooperate. Once the Niño conditions in the N. Hemisphere get truly established, as in October, we might see a flip to at least neutral imho.
  12. Fairly tranquil here today.OFB was down into southern parts where at least they had some severe thunderstorms earlier,least you guys in the east are getting some rain
  13. Today
  14. Ngl I’m getting better at this whole forecasting thing.
  15. Before posting that here, maybe you should have asked Chat GPT this question. Catastrophic doesn't even come close to the amount of damage 5.0C could cause.
  16. They sure are frustrating and its a damn miracle they're only 2 games out of the wild card.
  17. Even though I know it's unlikely., the fact that I even see this a possibility is scary.
  18. Can the Orioles do the unthinkable before the end of the 1H of the season and put up a 4 game winning streak? Stay tuned!
  19. For all you Minnesotans out there, the International Falls evening weather sounding said 89/71 with 4447 J/kg of CAPE with no storms nearby.
  20. You wanted heat for your garden. Your vegetables will be coming pre-cooked.
  21. Very low, less than 0.001%. Our strongest el ninos (namely 1982-83, 1997-98, and 2015-16) ended up between 2.5-3C. 5C is way off the charts.
  22. Yep. But seeing lightning off of that storm to my South.
  23. For as inexpensive as a small window ac unit is, I would have one available to use even if i only needed for a handful of days a year just because I hate sleeping in a hot room. It’s not like I have to use my ac all summer here either but for those really warm nights, I would be miserable the next day if I didn’t have it. It seems like the older i get, the less tolerant I am of hot or cold. lol.
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