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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
frontranger8 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
You're missing the main point. Wasn't about absolute temps, but instead warming relative to forecasts. -
Looks like .56" from that storm. Flush hit. .9" since last night.
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Just wait til the soil gets hypersaturated! Then you'll get to see something!
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Fall 2026 Medium/Long Range Pattern Thread
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Even TRI has been scorching hot. Our real feels have only been 3-4 degrees cooler than you all at times. Boiling hot. Jeff, let's hope the Weeklies today were dealing with feedback. Super torch and prolonged. -
I remember them building 68. I remember hearing the dynamite blast in Artemas.
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Looks like the OKX forecast zones moved up to 8th place so far for annual flash flood warnings while the PHI zones are in 1st place. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=44&plot=bar&opt=wfo&station=OKX&state=CT&fema=7&limit=no&c=single&phenomena=FF&significance=W&syear=1986&eyear=2026&s=jan1&_r=t&dpi=100&_fmt=png
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Congrats on the rains, DMV! Welcome to a Record Nino Autumn! You are all in perfect position for this! The Plume is coming straight at you! It's a massively East-Based Nino and you are right in the middle of it! Enjoy all those rains! There's a hell of a lot more where those came from! Look out for a Roided-up STJ!
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Monday, August 31 - Thursday, September 3, 2026 Convective Episodes
Torch Tiger replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
Yeah hopefully some with the annual Holiday screamer -
Some cool weather new for Maryland/DC folks. Montgomery County is developing an extension to the statewide mesonet with a focus on suburban and urban tripod stations. This will be known as the Montgomery County Micronet, with at least four (4) additional stations coming online this autumn. The first site just went online this past week. @wxmeddler and I rushed this site to completion as the MCS dove south from PA and we got it online maybe 10 min before the storms came in. When all is said and done, we'll have stations about ever five to seven miles in Montgomery County.
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Dimed my way to another 0.34 with this batch up to 1.47" for the week and hopefully counting
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Drove that stretch a lot, in all kinds of bad weather, before I-68 was there. Rt 40/48 was a thrill ride crossing those hills, especially in thick fog or blowing snow. Glad you and the truck made it safely.
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Not as much severe here-but lots of flooding events. 7/4 was our big severe day in CT
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This season might be a total loss. No canes yet and I don't see any potential in the foreseeable future.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
AmericanWxFreak replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
One hell of a supercell heading towards Orange. .- 2,552 replies
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NJ, Oklahoma'ed, while Long Island, Long Island'ed
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Thankfully, yes, 2 storms in 15 hours. Feels so good. This was the windiest storm of the year. Pretty intense 15 minutes. Best of all, the timing killed the afternoon heat!
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
DCAPE over me down at UVA is rather impressive. If the WV line holds together we could get some good wind damage.- 2,552 replies
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@EastCoast NPZ everything okay? The desert got hit again
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
rclab replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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A sudden change of plans yesterday evening saw me driving up late last night as opposed to first thing this morning. I did not know about the storms coming until I hit I-70 around 9PM. I only wish I had a dash camera to capture the wind and lightning I drove through - I sort of timed it perfectly to get the peak action between Sideling Hill and Big Savage. Wasn't exactly the smartest night to be driving a 40 year old pickup across the Alleghanies, but I live to tell the tale. Looking forward to having the windows open Sunday and Monday.
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Was just going to post about that too. The other *possibility* is if the bowing line segment approaching Stephens City can surge a bit more east versus south east - it wouldn't take much trajectory change to get at least the southern half of MoCo in on the show.
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Monday, August 31 - Thursday, September 3, 2026 Convective Episodes
MJOatleast7 replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
Reminds me of Catatumbo lightning over Lake Maracaibo, Venezuela. There they have up to one discharge every few seconds...ALL NIGHT LONG, every night, for several months. -
2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Well said. I agree with layering the Maryland counties adjacent to the Potomac River on the watch in case upscale growth occurs, but it's going to be tough. Our only chance seems to be from those storm just NW of Martinsburg getting their act together.- 2,552 replies
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0.23” last night loud thunder but heavy stuff missed west
