Central PA Autumn 2026

[MrFreeze6298]

Hello, everyone. The low temperature reached 32°F at Zelienople Municipal Airport.

[Jsauss]

4 hours ago, canderson said:

42 here in Detroit m. Flying back home this afternoon and I have shoulder surgery Thursday. 

I might be MIA for a bit after surgery 

good luck bro

[pawatch]

Won today 5.64lb two fish 

But boy was it a cold run this morning. Frost on my truck windshield.

[paweather]

8 hours ago, canderson said:

42 here in Detroit m. Flying back home this afternoon and I have shoulder surgery Thursday. 

I might be MIA for a bit after surgery 

Good Luck! Hope all goes well.

[Yardstickgozinya]

There's been a lot of chatter lately about the gulf becoming quite active over the next 10 days or more . Moisture  from tropical storm Isaias is expected to arrive here on Sunday ,but it doesn't appear to be anything that we'll really need to worry about at this point The atlantic basin is also brewing up some activity. 

 

Taken from the NWS local forecast discussion. 

A tropical system in the gulf will move up
north towards the Ohio River Valley this weekend bringing
tropical moisture and rain potential Sunday afternoon into
Monday. This system looks fairly progressive. However, robust
forcing and PWATs in the 1.5-1.75" range, particularly in the
southern tier of the state, may yield some periods of heavy
rain. Uncertainty remains regarding how this system plays out

From the NHC

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Oct 7 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0600 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Depression Nine is centered near 22.1N 95.0W at 07/0300
UTC or 300 nm W of Progreso Mexico, moving E at 4 kt. Estimated
minimum central pressure is 1005 mb. Maximum sustained wind
speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Scattered moderate and 
isolated strong convection is occurring from 20N-25N between 
91W-97W. An east-northwestward motion is expected on Wednesday, 
followed by a turn toward the northeast and north on Thursday and 
Friday. On the forecast track, the depression is expected to pass 
to the north of the Yucatan Peninsula on Thursday and approach the
U.S. northern Gulf Coast on Friday. Steady strengthening is 
forecast, and the depression is expected to become a tropical 
storm early Wednesday and a hurricane on Thursday. Swells are 
expected to affect the western and northern portions of the 
Yucatan Peninsula beginning on Thursday and spread northward 
toward the Gulf Coast late this week. These swells are likely to 
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please 
consult products from your local weather office.

Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National 
Hurricane Center at website - 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and the latest Nine 
NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at www.hurricanes.gov 
for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave in the E Atlantic is near 19W, extending from
05N-20N. No significant deep convection is occurring in 
association with the tropical wave.

A strong tropical wave is over the E Caribbean with an axis near 
66W, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to 
isolated strong convection is noted from 13N-18N between 61W-66W.
This wave is also forcing fresh to locally strong E winds across
the eastern Caribbean.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along coastal Senegal near
14N17W and extends to 09N40W. The ITCZ extends from 09N40W to 
10N58W. Scattered moderate convection is along and within 250 nm
of these features.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Please read the Special Features section above for more
information on Tropical Depression Nine. 

Aside from Tropical Depression Nine, a stationary front is 
drapped across the northern Gulf from coastal Florida near Tampa
Bay to 27N95W to 23N97W. Winds behind the front are moderate to 
fresh northeasterlies with seas 3-6 ft. Scattered moderate and 
isolated strong convection is occurring N of 24N and E of 90W, as
well as along the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula.

For the forecast, Tropical Depression Nine will strengthen to a 
tropical storm near 22.2N 94.2W Wed morning, move to 22.5N 92.7W 
Wed evening, 23.2N 91.1W Thu morning, strengthen to a hurricane 
near 24.3N 89.7W Thu evening, 26.1N 88.7W Fri morning, and 28.8N 
88.3W Fri evening. Nine will weaken to a tropical depression while
moving inland near 34.1N 88.8W late Sat. Otherwise, a frontal 
boundary along the northern Gulf will gradually weaken Wed and Wed
night. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Tropical Waves section for details on convection in
the eastern Caribbean. 

A weak pressure gradient between the Bermuda High to the north and
an 1008 mb Colombian Low is forcing moderate to locally fresh trades
with seas of 3-6 ft over the Caribbean this afternoon. Scattered 
moderate convection is occurring in the SW Caribbean south of 13N 
and west of 73W. 

For the forecast, a rather weak pressure gradient over the 
western Atlantic will support mostly gentle to moderate winds 
across most of the basin through early Thu. High pressure is 
forecast to redevelop to the SE of Bermuda Thu night, which will 
drift westward through Fri evening before dissipating. This will 
increase the trades over the central Caribbean to fresh speed Fri.
These trades will then be at mostly moderate to fresh speeds Fri 
night through Sun night. 

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A frontal boundary extends from 31N68W to the east coast of FL
near Cape Canaveral. A 1010 mb low near 30N78W is along the front,
with a surface trough extending southward to near Jupiter, FL.
Scattered moderate convection is along and roughly 100 nm S and E
of these features. Farther east in the central Atlantic, a pair of
surface troughs stemming from a 1015 mb low near 32N40W are
supporting scattered moderate convection N of 24N between 32W and
47W. Outside of convection, broad ridging across the Atlantic
supports gentle to moderate or weaker trades and moderate seas
across much of the basin. 

For the forecast west of 55W, a stationary front extending from 
30N70W to a 1010 mb low near 30N78W to Melbourne will begin to 
slowly move eastward across the area tonight as a cold front, then
stall from Bermuda to NE Florida into Wed. Fresh to strong 
northeast winds and rough seas will follow the front, remaining 
off NE Florida through Wed night. Moderate or weaker winds and 
slight seas will persist elsewhere through Fri. By Fri evening, 
high pressure developing SE of Bermuda and shifting westward will 
increase trades S of 22N to moderate to fresh speeds, continuing 
Sat and Sat night. Otherwise, winds will reach fresh to strong 
speeds again off NE Florida late on Fri as Tropical Depression 
Nine tracks northward across the Gulf of America. These winds will
veer to the SE Sat night through Sun night while weakening.