Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer

[WxWatcher007]

2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Yep that’s interesting. 

I've liked the signal for a while now. Just wish it tapped a little more into tropical influence. The runs today seem to be a little more potent with perhaps some subtropical/hybrid potential, but we're obviously still a ways out. 

AI ensembles look more bullish but you can see a little signal there across guidance. 

 

 

For the weenies among us, to be clear, I'm not saying we're going to get crushed by tropical lol. Just that the general pattern seems open for one of these coastals bearing hybrid characteristics. As @vortex95 notes, that's a bit unusual for this time of year along the east coast with "hybrid" season usually being in October, but given the overarching hostility in the Atlantic basin this year it's not surprising that the east coast right now could only support some kind of sprawling mess. 

[dendrite]

51.8° -RA

What a way to run the last weekend of summer. 

[WxWatcher007]

Regardless of status, the models really do have persistently strong onshore flow for days over the region. As long as this doesn't trend 500nm east or turn into a pumpkin, someone along the coast may have some trouble.