Tropical Storm Dolly

[RaleighNC]

I know my Dad is up there pulling for this one to hit Maralago.

[tiger_deF]

Rooting for this little guy (girl?) in the near future for sure. It’s almost certainly headed the way of the dodo but every now and then a storm is able to persist against a hostile environment.

Currently she’s producing just barely enough convection to survive

[cptcatz]

For what it's worth, the 12z CMC shows the remnants reorganizing in the Florida straits and then riding up the east coast of Florida as a formidable tropical storm. If the remnants can stay together, I don't think it's out of question that it can reform closer to the conus. We've seen open waves reorganize plenty of times.

[GaWx]

12Z UKMET: rapid WNW move in MDR with no strengthening followed by TS strength outside of MDR and change of move to NW well off the SE US at the end with interaction between Dolly and the TS hitting CHS making it more of a forecast challenge:

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 27.08.2026

TROPICAL STORM DOLLY ANALYSED POSITION : 13.6N 37.4W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 27.08.2026 0 13.6N 37.4W 1009 30
0000UTC 28.08.2026 12 14.0N 41.3W 1009 31
1200UTC 28.08.2026 24 14.5N 45.7W 1010 31
0000UTC 29.08.2026 36 15.3N 49.9W 1011 32
1200UTC 29.08.2026 48 16.3N 54.0W 1011 33
0000UTC 30.08.2026 60 17.3N 57.7W 1011 33
1200UTC 30.08.2026 72 18.7N 61.0W 1011 35
0000UTC 31.08.2026 84 19.7N 63.4W 1010 32
1200UTC 31.08.2026 96 20.4N 65.8W 1010 34
0000UTC 01.09.2026 108 21.0N 67.5W 1009 32
1200UTC 01.09.2026 120 21.5N 69.4W 1007 35
0000UTC 02.09.2026 132 21.8N 70.6W 1006 36
1200UTC 02.09.2026 144 22.8N 72.2W 1004 39
0000UTC 03.09.2026 156 23.7N 73.7W 997 42
1200UTC 03.09.2026 168 25.2N 75.3W 992 49

[PhiEaglesfan712]

Jolene, Jolene, Jolene, Jolene... In honor of Dolly