NorthHillsWx Posted Tuesday at 12:59 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:59 PM Good luck figuring out Simon's track. If you haven't, please check out today's model guidance for the system... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex95 Posted Tuesday at 11:21 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:21 PM 10 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said: Good luck figuring out Simon's track. If you haven't, please check out today's model guidance for the system... "Squashed spider!" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex95 Posted Tuesday at 11:24 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:24 PM Newly formed Trudy is fcst to become quite intense. Trudy as name rang a bell for me since this was also an intense Oct hurricane (135 kt) in 1990, and hung around for two weeks. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1990_Pacific_hurricane_season#Hurricane_Trudy Of the top 5 EPAC ACE prior to 2026, 1990 is #4 and that was a neutral ENSO year. In fact, of this top 5, only 2015 was very strong El Nino. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Tuesday at 11:48 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:48 PM Simon had become quite the microcane. Pretty eye this evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago 22 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said: Simon had become quite the microcane. Pretty eye this evening Currently it has one of the weirdest look's I've seen a hurricane take on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex95 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 17 hours ago, SnowenOutThere said: Currently it has one of the weirdest look's I've seen a hurricane take on. It had a 34 kt radii the other day as a HU down to 30 nm. That's on par for the smallest 34 kt radii HUs in the Atlantic. 2004-2024 avg R34 35 nm or less Jeanne 28 nm 9/16/04 Humberto 26 nm 9/13/07 Michael 35 nm 9/5/12 Lee 30 nm 9/24/17 Beryl 25 nm 7/6/18 Isaac 30 nm 9/10/18 Oscar 35 nm 10/19/24 Only hurricane that comes to mind nearly as small in the EPAC is Kiko from Aug 1989 with a ~45 nm R34, and it was in the same area as Simon (VIS image attached). On Oct 10 at 15z, Simon's R34 was as large as 110 nm in one quadrant. The storm has gained about 6 degrees of latitude since it genesis. So how does a long-lived, intense TC that gained reasonable latitude shrink so much? I read that it proximity to the Mexico coast and the downslope from high elevation just inland was a factor, but many TCs parallel close to the Pacific Mexico coast, and we do not see this kind of reduction in size. Why was Simon different here? Normally, TCs grow in size w/ time from ERCs and latitude gain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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