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Mountain West Discussion


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NWS/WPC forecasts 1" of rain for eastern Colorado and New Mexico this week. We'll see how it turns out. Best of luck busting the long-term drought for a lot of areas of the country.

As mentioned by somebody, the drought is down to D1 in Larimer County, but that's a limited area.

Strange weather pattern with a cutoff low in the West. There seem to be no interesting severe weather outlooks anytime soon. The NWS/CPC latest ENSO bulletin said we are in a neutral phase, with El Nino onset expected soon. The SST anomalies in the Pacific are already positive. The current weather pattern has rain all week in the southern USA. It already has some of the looks of an El Nino. Including storm chasers sitting at home and doing nothing. They say it could be a large El Nino by the time we get to winter.

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On 5/25/2026 at 6:43 PM, Chinook said:

NWS/WPC forecasts 1" of rain for eastern Colorado and New Mexico this week. We'll see how it turns out. Best of luck busting the long-term drought for a lot of areas of the country.

As mentioned by somebody, the drought is down to D1 in Larimer County, but that's a limited area.

Strange weather pattern with a cutoff low in the West. There seem to be no interesting severe weather outlooks anytime soon. The NWS/CPC latest ENSO bulletin said we are in a neutral phase, with El Nino onset expected soon. The SST anomalies in the Pacific are already positive. The current weather pattern has rain all week in the southern USA. It already has some of the looks of an El Nino. Including storm chasers sitting at home and doing nothing. They say it could be a large El Nino by the time we get to winter.

I've seen more hype for a super Nino this coming winter than I ever remember before.

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1 hour ago, smokeybandit said:

I swear I have a force field around my house. I just had rain and thunderstorm activity within 3 miles to my north, south, east and west. And didn't get any measurable rain.

Been the same here the past couple of days. Lots of lightning yesterday evening, storms all around...and .01".

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This happened earlier. You can't even see the city names near Denver because the screen is covered with local storm report hail icons and MPING hail icons. Probably the new storm north of US-36 is the storm that chasers are heading to now.

 

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Now the SPC has put out an outlook that wouldn't have been possible before this year: 15% double-hatched hail outlook for eastern Colorado. I would expect a severe thunderstorm watch in Denver. I'm sure last week's storm was a bit of a shock for lots of people... quick 15% outlook, and everybody gets hail all in one day.

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Quote

 

* Tornado Warning for...

Northwestern Elbert County in east central Colorado...

 

* Until 515 PM MDT.

 

* At 429 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado

was located near Kiowa, or 36 miles southeast of Denver, moving

east at 20 mph.

 

HAZARD...Tornado and two inch hail.

 

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

 

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without

shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage

to roofs, windows and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is

likely.

 

* Locations impacted include...

Kiowa.

 

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