2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season

[WxWatcher007]

We're probably done in the basin for this season unless there's something rogue in the subtropics. Time to start working on the grade for my peak season forecast. 

[jconsor]

On 10/25/2026 at 6:05 PM, WxWatcher007 said:

We're probably done in the basin for this season unless there's something rogue in the subtropics. Time to start working on the grade for my peak season forecast. 

I disagree.  Think we'll see 1-2 more named storms in early November.  About a 30% chance of another hurricane.

Best chances in the central Atlantic southeast of Bermuda.  Also a chance off the SE US coast, though likely brief.

Smaller chances near/sw of the Azores and in the western/central Caribbean.

The "high over low" pattern encourages low level convergence and anomalously low shear in the subtropics.

[PhiEaglesfan712]

2 hours ago, jconsor said:

I disagree.  Think we'll see 1-2 more named storms in early November.  About a 30% chance of another hurricane.

Best chances in the central Atlantic southeast of Bermuda.  Also a chance off the SE US coast, though likely brief.

Smaller chances near/sw of the Azores and in the western/central Caribbean.

The "high over low" pattern encourages low level convergence and anomalously low shear in the subtropics.

The season is done. It's almost impossible to get a named storm in November during an el nino. We couldn't even get one in November in 2023, and that season had 20 storms.

2 named storms and another hurricane is wishful thinking, especially in a season that's been very quiet. Maybe in the Pacific basin, but not in the Atlantic.