Texas 2026 Discussion/Observations

[Chinook]

Low-level wind speeds over 100mph, with possible power flashes and maybe a big fire

[Chinook]

large tornado on the ground

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...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM CDT FOR

NORTHEASTERN PARKER COUNTY...

 

At 1009 PM CDT, a confirmed potentially large and extremely

dangerous tornado was located near Reno, or near Azle, moving

southeast at 25 mph.

 

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

 

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

 

[Chinook]

flooding

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Flash Flood Warning for...

Western Tarrant County in north central Texas...

 

* Until 215 AM CDT.

 

* At 1107 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing

heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1.5 and 3 inches of

rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are

forecast. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

 

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

 

SOURCE...Radar.

 

[Chinook]

some damage at Runaway Bay

[cstrunk]

Slight risk today has been stretched SW into NE Texas. Last few runs of the HRRR is showing some storms late this afternoon/evening forming near Dallas and points east. There's also potential for isolated storms south/west. Hail/wind is probably the biggest threat, with isolated tornadoes still a possibility.

Tomorrow will have another threat for severe weather with storms potentially initiating near Sherman and headed south/east from there.

[cstrunk]

Mid-day update from SPC edges slight risk a bit more south into NE TX/NW LA. HRRR very consistent with storms from Dallas eastward.

[Stx_Thunder]

DFW convective environment still looks worked over from Saturday night's slow-moving, significant hail & flood producing supercells. Which wasn't even 48 hours ago yet.

Mainly cloud lightning so far on current lightning data (despite sfc temps around 90 F at 7 pm).

Could definitely still be some lower-end severe hail with such abnormally steep mid-level lapse rates in place (8 - 9), and modest DL shear on obs soundings across the state today. But, those abnormally steep ML lapse rates could definitely contribute to a more significant large hail threat in C/STX with more widespread, moderate DL shear overspreading the state later this week.

[Stx_Thunder]

On 4/24/2026 at 4:29 PM, cstrunk said:

This forum has really died out. Decent chance at some severe weather in NE TX this evening. Storms in SE OK should move into NE TX. May be more of a linear wind/hail threat, but isolated tornado threat with any cell that can form/stay isolated and ahead of the outflow boundary.

 

As far as posting activity goes, nothing's changed for the almost 3 years I've been on here now. Really, the only time this state topic gets (real) activity is when snow or a tornado outbreak is forecast in NTX. Which is extremely typical on this wx forum. At least with snow.

My goal here (with whatever energy & motivation I can use), is to cover all other wx aspects and parts of this big lone star state I've lived in all my life. Which is also why I do not include OK in these threads.

Aside from that, you should already know this is a completely public thread. Anyone, can look up what's being said or discussed in here on major search engines, at least. Google is obviously a no-brainer.

The thread view counter, does mean something.

[Stx_Thunder]

On 4/25/2026 at 8:43 PM, Sydney Claridge said:

We've had several cloud-to-ground lightning strikes well ahead of the storm in Fort Worth (and across the northern Metroplex).

Two potentially-tornadic supercells are moving towards the Metroplex, although the southwestern storm with its unimpeded inflow is the stronger of the two.

 

'Can definitely believe all the clear-air CG lightning strikes.

Considering all the severe hail dumping that unfolded in DFW Saturday night. But despite what NWS claims, those more powerful +CG strikes originating from near the tops of storms can definitely strike more than 15 miles away, as I've seen before.

[cstrunk]

Another, perhaps more significant, severe weather outbreak is on tap for much of north/northeast Texas today. Already a severe thunderstorm near Wichita Falls.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Very large/giant hail possible, in addition to strong wind and a few tornadoes, especially this afternoon into this evening.

[Powerball]

Today is definitely one of the most ominous setups I've seen for DFW proper in a long time.

Everything's semeingly coming together perfectly for a true (daytime) outbreak, and while the low level wind field could be better, I still tend to think the tornado threat is being a bit understated as is...

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[Chinook]

1 hour ago, Powerball said:

Today is definitely one of the most ominous setups I've seen for DFW proper in a long time.

Everything's semeingly coming together perfectly for a true (daytime) outbreak, and while the low level wind field could be better, I still tend to think the tornado threat is being a bit understated as is...

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New storms starting out in almost the exact place east of Wichita Falls TX as a few days ago

 

Quote

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Tornado Watch for portions of 
     Southern Oklahoma
     North Texas

   * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 105 PM until
     900 PM CDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     A couple tornadoes possible
     Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to 4
       inches in diameter expected
     Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
       to 80 mph possible

 

[Stx_Thunder]

Primary threat today around DFW still looks to be svr/large hail, once again.

Significant Hail Index Parameter on special 19Z UA obs this afternoon is even higher than it was on Saturday evening's 0Z UA obs that was 3.4

At 4.0 this afternoon.

Definitely high for that hail parameter, no doubt. I have not seen it go that high before in the state, as far as I can remember.