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Light Snowfall (1" - 4") on Tuesday Dec 23 For NYC Region (Discussion & Observations)


Northof78
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3 hours ago, Dark Star said:

My new neighborhood have some wild hills, right outside my door on the street.  And since I doubt they salt and plow like we do, I may sleigh all the way down and into the lake.  

They don't get much snow, that area averages about 7 inches per year, buit when they do get a surprise 2-4 inches the panick beforehand, you would think the chickxulub asteroid were about to hit. 
 

Good luck and enjoy your new home. It's a beautiful area. 

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15 hours ago, NorthShoreWx said:

It was pretty much all snow here until the past hour.  Light rain now with the occasional badly decomposed snowflake mixed in.

Snowfall total was 0.1" on 0.15" liquid equivalent.  Have fun calculating that ratio.

0.66666:1 SWE. Epic. :lol:

I'm working on a Tri-State Snowfall map now, should be done by mid-afternoon once i get cocorahs and coop. I went through the past 5 pages and got everybody on here. Thanks!

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The combination of the warmth (the daily low temperature wound up at 35° in NYC), light precipitation rates, and warming at the mid-levels all suggested that the 2"+ NAM amount was unrealistic for the City. At that time, the forecast low was 33°-34°, but the NAM idea was unrealistic. With lows of 35° or above, a trace was by far the most likely outcome. The same would hold elsewhere in the NYC region at such an elevated low temperature.

For example, below are the historical statistics for Bridgeport (1948-present) and New York City (1869-present):

image.png.2228bb8fd81adf6a505418b249f97022.png

And here was the NAM map:

image.thumb.png.450ccb13d005465e76d3b7cbab1dfc71.png

 

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