ChalkHillSnowNut Posted Thursday at 09:14 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:14 PM Dang I need the torch to melt the ice dams on my gutters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EVLINC64 Posted Friday at 04:12 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:12 PM Judah Cohen @judah47 · 1h #Winter is down but not out. #Cold temperatures across Northern Hemisphere are currently in full retreat but will expand rapidly in a week's time across Eurasia as high-latitude/Greenland blocking returns & also across North America with return of wave reflection, including NE US Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted Friday at 05:48 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:48 PM Seeing some light at end of snow drought on models. Next weekend looks loaded. EURO AI has massive storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted Friday at 06:08 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:08 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EVLINC64 Posted Friday at 08:27 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:27 PM The American Storm @BigJoeBastardi · 1h We are about to go into the wildest phase of the MJO you can have in Feb, phase 3. The Feb 5-13 1994 example of what phase 3 can do ( followed by the heat wave right after in 4/5/6) was the greatest case study this year NYC had 2 snowstorms with a total of 22 inches on the ground by the 12th, then was 62 8 days later! This year's target dates in comparison probably 20-28. That not to say 22 inches in NYC. Just to say a lot of wild weather west east centered in the lakes and northeast likely during that phase 3 time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted Friday at 08:37 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:37 PM 8 minutes ago, EVLINC64 said: The American Storm @BigJoeBastardi · 1h We are about to go into the wildest phase of the MJO you can have in Feb, phase 3. The Feb 5-13 1994 example of what phase 3 can do ( followed by the heat wave right after in 4/5/6) was the greatest case study this year NYC had 2 snowstorms with a total of 22 inches on the ground by the 12th, then was 62 8 days later! This year's target dates in comparison probably 20-28. That not to say 22 inches in NYC. Just to say a lot of wild weather west east centered in the lakes and northeast likely during that phase 3 time Is he saying winter is basically over after 28th with major heat wave likely after we get through phase 3 and possible snow from 20th - 28th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted Friday at 08:57 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:57 PM https://x.com/i/status/2022373616709472738 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EVLINC64 Posted Friday at 09:47 PM Share Posted Friday at 09:47 PM 1 hour ago, colonel717 said: Is he saying winter is basically over after 28th with major heat wave likely after we get through phase 3 and possible snow from 20th - 28th? I think he is saying anything is possible in Phase 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted Friday at 10:56 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:56 PM The American Storm @BigJoeBastardi · 1h We are about to go into the wildest phase of the MJO you can have in Feb, phase 3. The Feb 5-13 1994 example of what phase 3 can do ( followed by the heat wave right after in 4/5/6) was the greatest case study this year NYC had 2 snowstorms with a total of 22 inches on the ground by the 12th, then was 62 8 days later! This year's target dates in comparison probably 20-28. That not to say 22 inches in NYC. Just to say a lot of wild weather west east centered in the lakes and northeast likely during that phase 3 time JB is a tough one for me to trust/rely on. I generally think his forecasting is decent, but he is a wishcaster. Always thinks we are a week away from a big snow storm. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted Friday at 11:08 PM Share Posted Friday at 11:08 PM 10 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: JB is a tough one for me to trust/rely on. I generally think his forecasting is decent, but he is a wishcaster. Always thinks we are a week away from a big snow storm. . Agreed he always looks for the reason why it will be cold. Others though have jumped on the winter isnt done yet so we shall see. Wouldn't mind one more couple week period in march before we get an early spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EVLINC64 Posted Friday at 11:55 PM Share Posted Friday at 11:55 PM 56 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: JB is a tough one for me to trust/rely on. I generally think his forecasting is decent, but he is a wishcaster. Always thinks we are a week away from a big snow storm. . No he isn't ! he looks deeply into things instead & being in love with a Model until it changes them out of the sweet spot & then they jump to one that does have them in the sweet spot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted Saturday at 08:07 PM Share Posted Saturday at 08:07 PM Beautiful day to sit on the full sun patio with the fire pit and my Valentine. Almost ready to say I'm done with snow. Models had a tease yesterday but seemed to have backed off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted Saturday at 09:28 PM Share Posted Saturday at 09:28 PM Euro ensembles look cold and snowy for the end of the month. I believe if that PV actually splits that we see one more period of winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EVLINC64 Posted yesterday at 05:43 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:43 PM https://www.weatherbell.com/ watch the Saturday Summary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago Looks like after this week the weather may turn to winter again. Most of the Euro products show this. Here is the AI. Wouldn't mind one more period before spring. Obviously we are starting to enter the time of the year where sun angle makes a difference but its still only February. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago Give me something like the ICON was showing last night. I need big from here on in since most outside of piles is melted this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 17 hours ago, Rd9108 said: Looks like after this week the weather may turn to winter again. Most of the Euro products show this. Here is the AI. Wouldn't mind one more period before spring. Obviously we are starting to enter the time of the year where sun angle makes a difference but its still only February. I'd be shocked if we don't get at leat 2 or 3 colder windows to snow before spring. Problem is without stable blocking any storm threat is even more highly dependant on interactions with other waves leading to more uncertainty than usual past day 4. All this to say I wouldn't get interested in any threat until its consistently shown 96-120 hours. I guess that holds true for a lot of setups, but moreso here in my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Go Ike... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, colonel717 said: Go Ike... Im mean ill take it but my back still hurts from the last time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 48 minutes ago Share Posted 48 minutes ago 10 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: Im mean ill take it but my back still hurts from the last time. Ike is the only model with anything approaching that. UKie is a rain storm. So you may only have to shovel rain... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 45 minutes ago Share Posted 45 minutes ago 1 minute ago, colonel717 said: Ike is the only model with anything approaching that. UKie is a rain storm. So you may only have to shovel rain... Wait the UKie shows this. Doesn't make sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted 21 minutes ago Author Share Posted 21 minutes ago 21 minutes ago, colonel717 said: Wait the UKie shows this. Doesn't make sense Looks to show really borderline temps, but 850 is below freezing for much of that period. Good news is multiple models have the potential players on the field in that timeframe. Icon is a hit. GFS is a little slower to get going, but has the general idea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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