calculus1 Posted August 3, 2025 Share Posted August 3, 2025 I got an inch and a half of rain overnight. Crazy! Was not expecting that. Cool and cloudy right now.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted August 3, 2025 Share Posted August 3, 2025 30 minutes ago, calculus1 said: I got an inch and a half of rain overnight. Crazy! Was not expecting that. Cool and cloudy right now. . That is absolutely wild. Only .11” over here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted August 3, 2025 Share Posted August 3, 2025 Looks like we could get some flooding issues tomorrow night- Wednesday night. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted August 3, 2025 Share Posted August 3, 2025 1 hour ago, wncsnow said: Looks like we could get some flooding issues tomorrow night- Wednesday night. It might be a bit of ptsd, but I’m getting worried about this pattern ahead of an increasingly favorable Atlantic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mercurydime Posted August 3, 2025 Share Posted August 3, 2025 2.7 for this event. .56 of it in a steady light rain today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted August 4, 2025 Share Posted August 4, 2025 51 minutes ago, mercurydime said: 2.7 for this event. .56 of it in a steady light rain today. Yep it's about to get really soggy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted August 4, 2025 Share Posted August 4, 2025 2 hours ago, BooneWX said: It might be a bit of ptsd, but I’m getting worried about this pattern ahead of an increasingly favorable Atlantic. I'm worried as well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted August 4, 2025 Share Posted August 4, 2025 Hi Res NAM shows pockets of 6+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted August 4, 2025 Share Posted August 4, 2025 10 hours ago, wncsnow said: Hi Res NAM shows pockets of 6+ It has support from the HRRR too. 4+” through early Wed for a large chunk of the foothills with more convection as it went out of range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted August 4, 2025 Share Posted August 4, 2025 4 hours ago, BooneWX said: It has support from the HRRR too. 4+” through early Wed for a large chunk of the foothills with more convection as it went out of range. Most models are shifting the heaviest rain SE so we might only get an inch or 2. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted August 4, 2025 Share Posted August 4, 2025 First, I absolutely realize this is the equivalent of posting a 10:1 snowfall map 300 hrs out but to my point yesterday, I think we’re heading for some dangerously prime conditions in the SW Atlantic. Sea surface temps are bath tub warm, it looks like whatever wave makes it west of the Antilles will have optimally low shear and won’t be competing with dry air. “Ridge over troubled water” pattern inbound… Lots of solutions on the table but this ridiculous one from the GFS isn’t the only model firing warning shots. The ensembles seem to like the odds of a strong system on this side of the hemisphere in 10ish days. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted August 5, 2025 Author Share Posted August 5, 2025 Up to 1.14” so far today. Nice and slow also. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted August 5, 2025 Share Posted August 5, 2025 Started raining around 6:30 PM. I have accumulated 0.6 inch of rain so far, or 0.15 inch per hour, which is way more than the 0.03 inch per hour shown in the hourly forecast on the point and click from NWS. We have already exceeded the “quarter to half inch” of rainfall we were supposed to get overnight, and the night is still very young. Lots of moisture downstream. The HiRes NAM forecast of close to six inches over the next 60 hours looks much more likely to transpire than the GFS forecast of an inch or so.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted August 5, 2025 Share Posted August 5, 2025 Made it up to 78.4 today after not reaching 70 either of the previous two days. My low this morning was 61.7. Very nice for August 4!Currently 66.8 and moderate rain.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted August 5, 2025 Share Posted August 5, 2025 Ended up with 1.36 inches overnight since it began at 6:30 PM yesterday evening. No rain currently, and the heavy axis of rain is to our south and east. It appears to be drifting northward, but we shall see. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted August 5, 2025 Share Posted August 5, 2025 Only .73 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted August 5, 2025 Share Posted August 5, 2025 6z 3K NAM has almost 8 inches from Cleveland and Rutherford counties up to my neck of the woods. It looks like a new fetch sets up overnight in the foothills. HRRR wayyyyy further east with the axis. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted August 5, 2025 Share Posted August 5, 2025 The axis of heaviest rainfall continues to be to the south and east of Hickory, essentially along I-85, this morning. The axis may be drifting ever so slightly north and west, but the point-and-click forecasts seem to be misplaced based on the observed conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mercurydime Posted August 5, 2025 Share Posted August 5, 2025 1.13" here since Sunday (.25" so far today). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted August 6, 2025 Share Posted August 6, 2025 Hardly any rain here in Hickory today, just about one tenth of precipitation. The heavier axis of precipitation never retrograded enough to affect us. Point-and-click forecasts up to an inch of rainfall tonight and over half an inch tomorrow. We shall see, but radar returns are quite paltry over the entire southeast at the moment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted August 10, 2025 Share Posted August 10, 2025 We've had just brief peaks of sun the last 2 days after not having any for 6 days. I can't remember a more cloudy non tropical spell in August. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted August 11, 2025 Share Posted August 11, 2025 Getting crushed with heavy rain this morning. Over an inch already and lots more coming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted August 11, 2025 Share Posted August 11, 2025 1 hour ago, wncsnow said: Getting crushed with heavy rain this morning. Over an inch already and lots more coming. This took me by surprise, not gonna lie. I was expecting showery activity but this has been a complete washout. .95” on the day so far, but like you said, plenty more coming. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted August 11, 2025 Share Posted August 11, 2025 9 minutes ago, BooneWX said: This took me by surprise, not gonna lie. I was expecting showery activity but this has been a complete washout. .95” on the day so far, but like you said, plenty more coming. I'm at 1.45 now. Couple more heavy cells in Rutherford heading this way 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mercurydime Posted August 11, 2025 Share Posted August 11, 2025 Glad to see I'm not alone in being a bit surprised on rain amounts. I've had an inch this morning proper in the last 3 hours or so to put me at 1.60" since midnight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted August 15, 2025 Share Posted August 15, 2025 Thought I was going to make it through the day without rain for the first time in a while but a late shower ended that. Only .21 but it's insult to injury at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted August 16, 2025 Share Posted August 16, 2025 It's hot again. 88 currently with a DP of 72. Heat Index of 95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted August 18, 2025 Share Posted August 18, 2025 Back to monsoon season. .41 this afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted August 22, 2025 Share Posted August 22, 2025 We've barely had any rain the last 2 days getting split by some heavy cells. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted August 23, 2025 Share Posted August 23, 2025 We’re going to pay dearly for this pleasant weather in Sept and Oct aren’t we? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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