calculus1 Posted Sunday at 04:10 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:10 PM I got an inch and a half of rain overnight. Crazy! Was not expecting that. Cool and cloudy right now.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Sunday at 04:41 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:41 PM 30 minutes ago, calculus1 said: I got an inch and a half of rain overnight. Crazy! Was not expecting that. Cool and cloudy right now. . That is absolutely wild. Only .11” over here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Sunday at 07:46 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:46 PM Looks like we could get some flooding issues tomorrow night- Wednesday night. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Sunday at 09:35 PM Share Posted Sunday at 09:35 PM 1 hour ago, wncsnow said: Looks like we could get some flooding issues tomorrow night- Wednesday night. It might be a bit of ptsd, but I’m getting worried about this pattern ahead of an increasingly favorable Atlantic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mercurydime Posted Sunday at 11:30 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:30 PM 2.7 for this event. .56 of it in a steady light rain today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted yesterday at 12:22 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:22 AM 51 minutes ago, mercurydime said: 2.7 for this event. .56 of it in a steady light rain today. Yep it's about to get really soggy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted yesterday at 12:22 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:22 AM 2 hours ago, BooneWX said: It might be a bit of ptsd, but I’m getting worried about this pattern ahead of an increasingly favorable Atlantic. I'm worried as well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted yesterday at 02:39 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:39 AM Hi Res NAM shows pockets of 6+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted yesterday at 12:51 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:51 PM 10 hours ago, wncsnow said: Hi Res NAM shows pockets of 6+ It has support from the HRRR too. 4+” through early Wed for a large chunk of the foothills with more convection as it went out of range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 4 hours ago, BooneWX said: It has support from the HRRR too. 4+” through early Wed for a large chunk of the foothills with more convection as it went out of range. Most models are shifting the heaviest rain SE so we might only get an inch or 2. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago First, I absolutely realize this is the equivalent of posting a 10:1 snowfall map 300 hrs out but to my point yesterday, I think we’re heading for some dangerously prime conditions in the SW Atlantic. Sea surface temps are bath tub warm, it looks like whatever wave makes it west of the Antilles will have optimally low shear and won’t be competing with dry air. “Ridge over troubled water” pattern inbound… Lots of solutions on the table but this ridiculous one from the GFS isn’t the only model firing warning shots. The ensembles seem to like the odds of a strong system on this side of the hemisphere in 10ish days. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted 15 hours ago Author Share Posted 15 hours ago Up to 1.14” so far today. Nice and slow also. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago Started raining around 6:30 PM. I have accumulated 0.6 inch of rain so far, or 0.15 inch per hour, which is way more than the 0.03 inch per hour shown in the hourly forecast on the point and click from NWS. We have already exceeded the “quarter to half inch” of rainfall we were supposed to get overnight, and the night is still very young. Lots of moisture downstream. The HiRes NAM forecast of close to six inches over the next 60 hours looks much more likely to transpire than the GFS forecast of an inch or so.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago Made it up to 78.4 today after not reaching 70 either of the previous two days. My low this morning was 61.7. Very nice for August 4!Currently 66.8 and moderate rain.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Ended up with 1.36 inches overnight since it began at 6:30 PM yesterday evening. No rain currently, and the heavy axis of rain is to our south and east. It appears to be drifting northward, but we shall see. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Only .73 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 6z 3K NAM has almost 8 inches from Cleveland and Rutherford counties up to my neck of the woods. It looks like a new fetch sets up overnight in the foothills. HRRR wayyyyy further east with the axis. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago The axis of heaviest rainfall continues to be to the south and east of Hickory, essentially along I-85, this morning. The axis may be drifting ever so slightly north and west, but the point-and-click forecasts seem to be misplaced based on the observed conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mercurydime Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1.13" here since Sunday (.25" so far today). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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