calculus1 Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 WWAs just got extended to Catawba, Iredell, and Rowan counties until 7 AM... ...for a light glaze. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 31.8.. dropped… went up… and dropping again.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Down to 32.5/28. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Went back and looked under the hood at the big 18z gfs run. We would have faired a lot better in reality. In the deformation zone, it shows frz rain on the map but the sounding was very clearly snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 32.0/28 with drizzle. That precipitation has dragged the temperature down quickly, but we'll see how long it lasts at freezing or lower. I don't notice any glaze, as of yet, even on the elevated surfaces. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Down to 32 with light rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mercurydime Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Light rain and a fresh glaze on my driveway fence railing topper. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Will probably be some slick spots in the morning. Especially on ridges. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 31.7/29 as I head to bed. No precipitation at the moment.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Deflating model runs overnight and this morning. Sucks to see the LP in a perfect location but minimal precip… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Lets let it get on land before we resort to cliff diving.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 1 hour ago, WNC_Fort said: Deflating model runs overnight and this morning. Sucks to see the LP in a perfect location but minimal precip… I’m not the slightest bit concerned this morning. We’re still seeing thousand mile swings between runs with the individual pieces of energy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 I'm concerned because you always bet the streak. We all know what the streak is.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 6, 2025 Author Share Posted January 6, 2025 Just now, wncsnow said: I'm concerned because you always bet the streak. We all know what the streak is.. No doubt. Bet the streak until it ends. Is this the time to move the money? Yet to be seen. Today should be telling or will it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 6, 2025 Author Share Posted January 6, 2025 Back to work today for good. Nothing like starting buses at 33.3 degrees in the rain! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 We have a slight amount of ice on the trees 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
avianman Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Still sitting at 31.7 degrees here at Riverbend Park in northern Catawba County. Nice coating of ice on everything, including the parking lot (that was a fun walk to the office). I think the county did the right thing by cancelling school today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Interesting drive to Asheville earlier. Was 33 with some ice on trees going up Old Fort mountain before I hit the fog which was very bad near the top. As soon as I got to Ridgecrest, brilliant bright sun and the temp went up to 41. Then as soon as I got to Asheville the fog set back in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Fwiw, the GEFS panels have about 13/30 showing a big dog for us. We’re not dead yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Half of the CMC ensembles have big dog potential too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Had a nice glaze over everything this morning. I was surprised. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmaker13 Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Dusting here in Asheville currently. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 7, 2025 Share Posted January 7, 2025 Thumbing through the LP tracks on the ensembles and for most, you really couldn’t draw up a better track for us locally. I don’t want to jump ahead of myself but ****typically*** those lows at the strength they depict, is a western NC classic that usually dumps 4-8” with maybe some sleet mixed in. I’m cautiously optimistic. Edit: and if that GFS OP matched more of its ensemble members, I think we would’ve had quite the clown map. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 7, 2025 Author Share Posted January 7, 2025 1 hour ago, BooneWX said: Thumbing through the LP tracks on the ensembles and for most, you really couldn’t draw up a better track for us locally. I don’t want to jump ahead of myself but ****typically*** those lows at the strength they depict, is a western NC classic that usually dumps 4-8” with maybe some sleet mixed in. I’m cautiously optimistic. Edit: and if that GFS OP matched more of its ensemble members, I think we would’ve had quite the clown map. The overall tracks ready needs to be as close to the coast as possible. Not sure I buy the inland track as of now. However, it is horse shoes and hand grenades till now cast time around here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 7, 2025 Share Posted January 7, 2025 I'm feeling...dare I say... optimistic? 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 7, 2025 Share Posted January 7, 2025 Of the GFS ensembles, 14/20 are big dogs for the foothills. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
avianman Posted January 7, 2025 Share Posted January 7, 2025 27 minutes ago, BooneWX said: Of the GFS ensembles, 14/20 are big dogs for the foothills. Define Big Dog, because after the last couple winters, one inch is a big dog. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 7, 2025 Share Posted January 7, 2025 My early forecast- Smokies and Balsams- 4-8 inches all snow Asheville- 2-4" Northern Foothills- McDowell, Burke, Caldwell- 2-4" ending with some sleet Southern Foothills- Rutherford, Cleveland- 1-3" some sleet and ZR 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmaker13 Posted January 7, 2025 Share Posted January 7, 2025 6 minutes ago, wncsnow said: My early forecast- Smokies and Balsams- 4-8 inches all snow Asheville- 2-4" Northern Foothills- McDowell, Burke, Caldwell- 2-4" ending with some sleet Southern Foothills- Rutherford, Cleveland- 1-3" some sleet and ZR Good forecast IMO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 8, 2025 Share Posted January 8, 2025 I just have that nagging feeling that something is going to screw us still. Don't like the 18Z euro going dry again. It looked like the UK with a dry area around the escarpment too. Hopefully the trends will be good at 00Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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