eaglesin2011 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago That Nam run is just about the best run you can have for the RVA & VA Beach area… Everything just backfills perfectly & it’s not north enough to get more dry air pulled into it. Now if it could just actually happen like that .. lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 38 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said: That Nam run is just about the best run you can have for the RVA & VA Beach area… Everything just backfills perfectly & it’s not north enough to get more dry air pulled into it. Now if it could just actually happen like that .. lol Possible. It's going to whatever it does models or not. In fact models are so all over the place I'm not sure anyone will be certain until its happening It would be funny if Richmond ended up with 9 inches of snow and TV mets had to get on tv and explain why they forecasted 2 inches. Wouldn't be the first time. Lol Doubt it happens like that. The realist in me says like 3 or 4 for me in Chesterfield. Possibly nothing. But also possibly 9 I guess. I'd give nothing higher odds than 9 I suppose 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago The models are all over the place because they can’t figure out how& where the storm will develop off the coast & how much dry air will get into this storm (from two different directions & sources ) .. It’s definitely going to be boom or bust in many areas… If your in VA beach through Richmond area, that last NAM run is pretty much exactly what we need to happen to really get a nice hit in both places.It forms exactly where we need it to & pushes moisture back into both areas perfectly… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago RRFS jumped north. 11-14 on southside. Lots closer to RIC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Big improvements in short range models. Let’s see if that continues at 12z. They could be on to something 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: Big improvements in short range models. Let’s see if that continues at 12z. They could be on to something GFS and Euro have another snow chance in 6 days. Right now looks best in central VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted 54 minutes ago Share Posted 54 minutes ago 7 minutes ago, ldub23 said: GFS and Euro have another snow chance in 6 days. Right now looks best in central VA Always does at 6 days. 2 days? That’s another story. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted 41 minutes ago Share Posted 41 minutes ago WOW the NAM much better for ric and va beach area... Dont discount the moves on the NAM. Its usually the one that gets it right with changes first. Just wow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted 39 minutes ago Share Posted 39 minutes ago That being said, still rooting for our coastal brethren. Hope it buries the King Neptune statue on the boardwalk. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted 33 minutes ago Share Posted 33 minutes ago 6Z NAM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted 32 minutes ago Share Posted 32 minutes ago RIC yday was barely anything now near 10-11 hmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted 19 minutes ago Share Posted 19 minutes ago 6z Euro Looks to be still staying well south with most of the heavy moisture… It’s basically a strung out mess .. Nowhere really getting huge totals.. Ric not much of anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted 14 minutes ago Share Posted 14 minutes ago 4 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said: 6z Euro Looks to be still staying well south with most of the heavy moisture… It’s basically a strung out mess .. Nowhere really getting huge totals.. Ric not much of anything the euro is a long range model. Watch short range models now. GFS euro no need to even watch them now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted 14 minutes ago Share Posted 14 minutes ago The nam is always the one to pick up on changes short range too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted 12 minutes ago Share Posted 12 minutes ago Oh boy all the local mets are pulling totals around here to 0-1 ha that would be funny if the nam is right and then they have to back track and raise the totals up big. They clearly arent looking at the NAM from 6z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted 5 minutes ago Share Posted 5 minutes ago 13 minutes ago, jlewis1111 said: the euro is a long range model. Watch short range models now. GFS euro no need to even watch them now True, but the Euro has been pretty consistent on its main moisture being south of us … Hopefully we can finally start to get some model agreement somewhere..Will definitely be pulling for the Nam to be right…Again, it’s pretty close to the best scenario of what we would want for a nice hit in this area… will be interesting to see what wins out… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted 1 minute ago Share Posted 1 minute ago 3 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said: True but the Euro has been pretty consistent on its main moisture being south of us … Hopefully we can finally start to get some model agreement…Will definitely be pulling for the Nam to be right again it’s pretty much the best scenario of what we would want for a nice hit in this area… will be interesting to see what wins out… nam nailed last weekends storm with precip amounts euro is shit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted just now Share Posted just now 12z run of the nam will be huge. Lets see if 6z was a one off or the real deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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