RVASnowLover Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 GFS rolling so we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 GFS ok, mixes for a bit then goes back to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 GFS with a big inital thump before we changeover to sleet then back to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 3 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: GFS with a big inital thump before we changeover to sleet then back to snow how much is it showing before we change over to sleet here in richmond? Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, Conway7305 said: Hard to be mad at this even if we mix. Maybe get the CAD to hang on a little longer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 2 minutes ago, jlewis1111 said: how much is it showing before we change over to sleet here in richmond? Thank you about 8-10" before am in RIC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, RVASnowLover said: about 8-10" before am in RIC so our main time frame for snow is from what time to what time. Sorry for all the questions just setting up my plow teams Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 CMC is terrible. Way amped and north. Everyone mixes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dick_LeBoof Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Anybody else thinking the models are underestimating the CAD? My thoughts are that the broader synoptic pattern is generally what we are used to seeing for snow events, but the current arctic air mass is more intense than we usually see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 7 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: CMC is terrible. Way amped and north. Everyone mixes. Its pretty much the GFS vs all other models for now. Euro will be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 6z euro was a tick south from 0z so hopefully bleeding stopped. Will see for 12z. Every model usually follows the euro even if its lag time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORFDawg2013 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 I'll take this after the northward march last night. Cut my losses lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 2 minutes ago, ldub23 said: Its pretty much the GFS vs all other models for now. Euro will be interesting. Yep GFS the only model so far with a good thump before the changeover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 GFS best case scenario. CMC too amped, toss. Euro AI was still good for us I thought. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, chris624wx said: I'll take this after the northward march last night. Cut my losses lol . I'd take it too but as well know it's hard to trust the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 3 minutes ago, mikeeng92 said: GFS best case scenario. CMC too amped, toss. Euro AI was still good for us I thought. CMC wasn't terrible with the inital thump 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 I was in NY for the 2007 Valentines Day storm and we got 8" of snow then 4" of sleet and it was a high impact event. Turned into a glacier, very difficult to plow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 GEFS continues to be south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 3 minutes ago, mikeeng92 said: That's an improvement from 0z. Still amped and has the primary going into OH but the inital thump is impressive before we switch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 this is interesting. The GFS ensembles do not appear to be north at all. In fact there are a lot of southern ensemble runs.lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 I know we’re focused on this storm but check this out down line 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORFDawg2013 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 7 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: I know we’re focused on this storm but check this out down line Already too far north! Going to end up in Detroit! (I kid...I kid)... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Euro is very icy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Yeah this run isn't going to do it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, RVASnowLover said: Yeah this run isn't going to do it Very dry run for NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 That amount of QPF and showing only 3-5" of snow has me worried about power and trees, temps in the 20's and all that precip has to fall as something and Dr. No is saying, it's not snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Veratim, a short thump, quick changeover to what would be a crippling ice storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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