wasnow215 Posted February 8, 2025 Share Posted February 8, 2025 1 minute ago, RIC Airport said: AKQ is still favoring north. I also remain skeptical of the GFS. GFS actual snow depth is 4-6" It's not crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 8, 2025 Author Share Posted February 8, 2025 2 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: 18z so far is north of 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 8, 2025 Share Posted February 8, 2025 1 minute ago, RIC Airport said: 18z so far is north of 12z. But we don't look at one run as being a trend right either way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 8, 2025 Author Share Posted February 8, 2025 3 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: But we don't look at one run as being a trend right either way? The GFS was on its own being the coldest and farthest south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 8, 2025 Share Posted February 8, 2025 2 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: The GFS was on its own being the coldest and farthest south. Euro has been trending to the GFS this time around so we will see. Gonna waiver back and forth some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 8, 2025 Share Posted February 8, 2025 Just now, Conway7305 said: Euro has been trending to the GFS this time around so we will see. Gonna waiver back and forth some. Exactly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 8, 2025 Share Posted February 8, 2025 7 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: Euro has been trending to the GFS this time around so we will see. Gonna waiver back and forth some. Euro seems to be more distancing itself away from the GFS to me. And we know who usually wins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 8, 2025 Author Share Posted February 8, 2025 12 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: Euro has been trending to the GFS this time around so we will see. Gonna waiver back and forth some. 12 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: Exactly It's been more consistent so there is that. But, when you look at the ensembles (GEFS/EPS) over the last couple of days, there was always a more northerly signal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 8, 2025 Share Posted February 8, 2025 Still thinking 4-5 inches for RVA with a max of what GFS is throwing out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 8, 2025 Share Posted February 8, 2025 1 minute ago, Conway7305 said: Still thinking 4-5 inches for RVA with a max of what GFS is throwing out. I said 3 to 5 about 48 hours ago I'm gonna stick with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 8, 2025 Share Posted February 8, 2025 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 9, 2025 Share Posted February 9, 2025 People in the main thread are another breed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 9, 2025 Author Share Posted February 9, 2025 13 minutes ago, RVAman said: I know I'll be gone, but this would be wonderful! Just hope 18z Euro isn't the beginning of a trend. @wasnow215cautioned that it may not be after only one run. 00z runs will be interesting. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 9, 2025 Share Posted February 9, 2025 8 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: I know I'll be gone, but this would be wonderful! Just hope 18z Euro isn't the beginning of a trend. @wasnow215cautioned that it may not be after only one run. 00z runs will be interesting. I’m not buying that map from NBC12. I expect by tomorrow evening or Monday morning the totals will be down to 1-3 or 2-5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted February 9, 2025 Share Posted February 9, 2025 Hope y'all in the interior do well with this one, but not enthused a bit for Southside HR. Hopefully we get a better look for a storm before the winter is over. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 9, 2025 Share Posted February 9, 2025 3 minutes ago, chris624wx said: Hope y'all in the interior do well with this one, but not enthused a bit for Southside HR. Hopefully we get a better look for a storm before the winter is over. I hope so too. Sucks it’s halfway to March already. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted February 9, 2025 Share Posted February 9, 2025 Wow, aggressive call this early from 12. I mean, they usually hold off on a map until closer I thought. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted February 9, 2025 Share Posted February 9, 2025 Eh history would say this will favor areas north of Richmond. Still hope to get at least 2 or 3 inches at the airport. ^^;; 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 9, 2025 Share Posted February 9, 2025 0z NAM comes in much better/colder. FWIW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 9, 2025 Share Posted February 9, 2025 0z NAM FWIW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 9, 2025 Share Posted February 9, 2025 NAM looking like that is a very good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 9, 2025 Author Share Posted February 9, 2025 32 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: 0z NAM FWIW GFS still with its larger totals, but RIC proper has no room for error. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 9, 2025 Share Posted February 9, 2025 GFS Holds Steady, minor adjustments but nothing crazy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 9, 2025 Author Share Posted February 9, 2025 4 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: GFS still with its larger totals, but RIC proper has no room for error. 3 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: GFS Holds Steady, minor adjustments but nothing crazy Timing this run is about 6-7am and surface temps are mostly at 32 during the event. The 850 0C lines creeps close, but remains below freezing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 9, 2025 Share Posted February 9, 2025 I feel more confident we see at least 3-4’’ from this. Would be super happy with 5’’+ Don’t want to get greedy GFS gotta be overdoing totals. If that actually verified, would be our biggest snow since 2016. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 9, 2025 Share Posted February 9, 2025 CMC is def not north either 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 9, 2025 Author Share Posted February 9, 2025 2 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: I feel more confident we see at least 3-4’’ from this. Would be super happy with 5’’+ Don’t want to get greedy GFS gotta be overdoing totals. If that actually verified, would be our biggest snow since 2016. Latest NBM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 9, 2025 Share Posted February 9, 2025 1 minute ago, RIC Airport said: Latest NBM So far we have improvements on the NAM, GFS holds and CMC is cold but less precip. Waiting on the King Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 9, 2025 Share Posted February 9, 2025 5 hours ago, RIC Airport said: One reason why this thread exists. Hey, I tried to go to bat for y'all, and I'm up on the Delmarva! Lol. I've started checking out this thread for analysis that is more relevant to me. The maps they post cut me off to the east the maps you guys post cut me off to the north! LOL. But at least we share the same issues with mixing and temp issues in most storms. We also tend to all cash in at the same time. Usually if I'm getting it, you guys are too. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 9, 2025 Author Share Posted February 9, 2025 15 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: So far we have improvements on the NAM, GFS holds and CMC is cold but less precip. Waiting on the King The 00z GEFS has a 6-7" mean around RIC. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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